In the Press - Merkel's poll win unlikely to make much difference to Brexit, analysts say

25 September 2017
The Guardian
The EU and single market are a “core national interest” for Germany, “essential to its stability, security and prosperity”, said Christian Odendahl of the Centre for European Reform. All major parties and most voters bar the 13% who cast their ballots for the anti-immigrant AfD want more EU cooperation, not less.

In the Press - Merkel's win comes with EU prestige intact, but power weakened

25 September 2017
Deutsche Welle
Christian Odendahl of the Centre for European Reform (CER) said Merkel's position will not be significantly weakened in the eyes of other EU leaders, but the less "wiggle room" she now has domestically will affect her ability to make deals with the bloc. Instead of having a commanding majority in the parliament, Odendahl pointed out, "she'll have to look carefully at all sides to make sure everyone's happy in her coalition – which will be a difficult coalition to begin with."

In the Press - Macron to pledge to plough on with Europe reforms despite German electoral setback

25 September 2017
The Telegraph
Christian Odendahl, the senior economist at the Centre for European Reform in Berlin, said that there was still a "fundamental difference" in view between France and Germany, which is demanding that any burden-sharing must be accompanied by measures to tighten control over national fiscal policies."I don’t think his eurozone reforms will go very far now," Mr Odendahl predicted. "Macron will be be disappointed."

In the Press - May asks for two-year transition deal after Brexit

23 September 2017
Charles Grant of the Centre for European Reform said May was "right to adopt a positive tone", but added that her offers were "not enough to unblock" the talks.

In the Press - German election: Who will be in the 'Jamaica' coalition with Angela Merkel?

25 September 2017
The Express
Sophia Besch, research fellow at the CER, said the German elections will not affect the outcome of Brexit because all the parties share a similar stance. She said: "All major German parties want to maintain close economic and political ties to Britain post-Brexit, and limit the economic fallout. "But Germans are also adamant that there will be no cherry-picking by the British after Brexit, that means no selective participation in the single market."

In the Press - Germania, la Merkel vince ma l'equilibrio non sta più nel mezzo

25 September 2017
«Difficile vedere la differenza tra centro destra e centro sinistra, in Germania i due partiti sono oramai indistinguibili», ha sottolineato a caldo Simon Tilford, vice direttore del Centre for European Reform di Londra: «Come del resto in altri grandi Paesi europei». A proposito d'Europa: nessuno più del presidente francese Emmanuel Macron avrà sofferto nel vedere i risultati delle elezioni tedesche. Il suo grande piano di riforma dell'Unione europea si basa innanzitutto su una profonda e sincera alleanza tra la sua Francia e una Germania libera dall'incubo elezioni, di nuovo saldamente in mano alla Cancelliera.

In the Press - German election results LIVE: AfD vows to 'hunt' Angela Merkel after making shock gains

25 September 2017
The Express
Simon Tilford of the Centre for European Reform tweeted: “13.5% for AFD grim, but its high point given refugee inflows falling back? Hopefully SPD result will force it to be more social-democratic.

In the Press - Victoire en demi-teinte pour Angela Merkel

25 September 2017
Le Devoir
« Avec les résultats de ce soir, la coopération entre la CDU et le SPD prend fin, a déclaré son candidat Martin Schulz. […] Nous sommes tous d’accord pour devenir le premier parti d’opposition. […] Notre parti connaît à nouveau des heures amères, mais la social-démocratie a survécu et trouvé le moyen de montrer sa force — même confrontée à l’extrême droite qui affiche son visage hideux. » Selon l’économiste en chef du Centre for European Reform, Christian Odendahl, ce résultat n’est ni plus ni moins qu’« un désastre pour le SPD ».

Future events

CER fringe event at the Conservative party conference: 'How to handle Brexit'

02 October 2017
Chair: Charles Grant, CER, Juliet Samuel, Columnist, The Telegraph, Vicky Ford, MP for Chelmsford, Andrea Leadsom, MP for South Northamptonshire, Lord President of the Council and Leader of the House of Commons, Dominic Grieve, MP for Beaconsfield and Konrad Szymański, Secretary of State for European Affairs, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Poland