In the Press - Brexit trade talks may be reduced to as little as 10 months

17 August 2017
The Guardian
If phase two slips to the end of the year, “it is not a huge problem for the EU, they know in terms of timing they have the upper hand,” said Christian Odendahl, Berlin representative for the Centre for European Reform think-tank.

In the Press - Britain's Brexit papers aim to fast-track customs talks

15 August 2017
Financial Times
“The UK government knows that some of the member-states are worried about the commission’s position that transition arrangements cannot be discussed until ‘sufficient progress’ has been made on divorce arrangements and agreeing the final relationship,” said Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform. “They are hoping the Nordics in particular will put pressure on Barnier to acknowledge quickly that sufficient progress has been made on those areas.”

In the Press - Hopes for European ‘safe’ bonds lean on pre-crisis techniques

17 August 2017
Financial Times
Christian Odendahl, chief economist at think-tank the Centre for European Reform, said that despite the efforts to distance the plan from the concept of debt mutualisation, Germany was likely to regard it with suspicion.
“The Germans feel that this is a clever way of persuading them to sign up to something which at least has the potential to become debt mutualisation by the back door,” he said. “Particularly if there was an agency doing the structuring and sales of these products, the markets would perceive that as 100 per cent safe and expect a bailout if it goes wrong.”

In the Press - UK to seek 'temporary customs union' after Brexit

15 August 2017
Channel News Asia
Professor Alan Winters, director of the UK Trade Policy Observatory at the University of Sussex described the proposals as "vague and aspirational" - a view echoed by John Springford, director of research at the Centre for European Reform think-tank, who accused the government of "constructive ambiguity".

In the Press - Retired Brits 'rushing to move to Spain, Portugal and France' before Brexit makes it more difficult

14 August 2017
The Mirror
But migration expert John Springford, of the Centre for European Reform, warned the “golden age of British retirees heading to the Costas is probably over”. And he told the Guardian: “Retirees are expensive. There is no way Spain would allow lots of Brits to retire there and use their health system unless young Spanish people could come and work in the UK. If we don’t have free movement, it’s very unlikely we’d have retirement rights.”

In the Press - Brexit: UK retirees rushing to settle in Europe, say financial advisers

13 August 2017
The Guardian
“The golden age of British retirees heading to the Costas is probably over,” said John Springford, a migration expert who is director of research at the Centre for European Reform. He pointed to research that found that while young immigrants provided an economic boost in most OECD countries, people turned into a net drain on national finances somewhere between the age of 40 and 45.

In the Press - Le miracle économique allemand n’est pas celui que l’on croit

08 August 2017
Le Monde
C’est ce que s’est employé à faire l’économiste allemand Christian Odendahl, membre du Centre for European Reform, un think tank européen basé à Londres. Il vient de publier une étude intitulée « Le mythe Hartz », où il fait tomber quelques idées reçues. « Beaucoup attribuent le succès économique allemand aux réformes Hartz et recommandent que le reste de l’Europe s’en inspire, détaille l’auteur. Mais il y a des raisons d’être sceptique. »

In the Press - Brexit bill: No longer if, but when and how much

07 August 2017
Politico
Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform think-tank, said such a proposal had merit and could allow the Brexit talks to progress to the next phase. “There is a strong feeling among UK and EU officials that the best way to present the Brexit bill is as payments during a transition, in return for market access,” he said. “Three years of paying about £10 billion a year would mean the UK handing over a large part of what the EU wants — not all of it, but enough to create goodwill and probably to get the EU to talk about trade.”

Future events

CER fringe event at the Labour party conference: 'How to handle Brexit'

25 September 2017
Chair: Ian Bond, CER, Hilary Benn, MP for Leeds Central, Yvette Cooper, MP for Normanton, Pontefract and Castleford, Keir Starmer, MP for Holborn and St Pancras and Chuka Umunna, MP for Streatham

CER fringe event at the Conservative party conference: 'How to handle Brexit'

02 October 2017
Chair: Charles Grant, CER, Juliet Samuel, Columnist, The Telegraph, Vicky Ford, MP for Chelmsford, Andrea Leadsom, MP for South Northamptonshire, Lord President of the Council and Leader of the House of Commons, Dominic Grieve, MP for Beaconsfield (TBC) and Konrad Szymański, Secretary of State for European Affairs, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Poland (TBC)