Economic growth

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Europe places too much faith in supply-side policies

Europe places too much faith in supply-side policies

Simon Tilford
18 January 2013
The damage done to Europe's growth potential by very low investment and mass unemployment is likely to offset the benefits of structural reforms.
Asia's fading economic miracle

Asia's fading economic miracle

George Magnus
11 January 2013
Prediction is not destiny. Without vigorous reforms and stronger institutions, many Asian economies will struggle to transform themselves from middle income to wealthy countries.
Sound public finances require more than low budget deficits

Sound public finances require more than low budget deficits

Simon Tilford
04 January 2013
Small budget deficits are no guarantee of sustainable public finances: Europe needs higher inflation and growth if it is to stem the rise in public debt.
Austerity report

Europe's future in an age of austerity

John Springford, Philip Whyte, Simon Tilford
18 December 2012
The CER invited leading economists and policy-makers to debate the implications of fiscal austerity for economic, political and monetary stability.
A multi-tier Europe? The political consequences of the euro crisis

A multi-tier Europe? The political consequences of the euro crisis

Katinka Barysch
07 December 2012
Euro members must integrate more to save the single currency. But will a two-tier EU destroy the single market and lose the support of the people?
Economic recovery requires a better deal for labour

Economic recovery requires a better deal for labour

Simon Tilford
05 November 2012
Unless labour receives a larger share of the pie, Europe's economic recovery will prove elusive and popular hostility to markets will grow.
How to build European services markets

How to build European services markets

28 September 2012
European services markets are still overwhelmingly national. There are big economic gains to be made from opening them up. 
Europe’s leaders are casting around for ways to improve the EU’s economic performance. In the long term, a more integrated single market for services could improve Europe’s weak productivity growth. The...
A banking union – it is necessary, but is it likely?

A banking union – it is necessary, but is it likely?

Philip Whyte
27 July 2012
Could the EU's summit of June 29 come to be regarded as a watershed? Following umpteen crisis summits that have failed to tackle the root causes of the eurozone crisis, EU leaders finally got to the heart of the matter: the need to break the vicious interaction between weak banks...
Has the eurozone reached the limits of the politically possible?

Has the eurozone reached the limits of the politically possible?

Simon Tilford
12 July 2012
The limited measures agreed at June's summit are unlikely to take effect, suggesting that the eurozone has already reached the limits of the politically possible.
Some sorts of austerity are better than others

Some sorts of austerity are better than others

01 June 2012
Governments in the eurozone's periphery are making indiscriminate cuts. Reducing spending that does little to support demand and recycling it into investment would help.
Germany's choice

Germany's choice: Higher inflation or sovereign defaults

Simon Tilford
09 May 2012
Germany faces a choice between higher inflation or a wave of sovereign defaults culminating in either a transfer union or the collapse of the eurozone.
Governance reforms have left the euro's flawed structure intact

Governance reforms have left the euro's flawed structure intact

Philip Whyte
18 April 2012
European leaders have presided over a major overhaul of the way the eurozone is run. But the eurozone's basic institutional configuration remains as unstable as ever.
Stable public finances require stronger business investment

Stable public finances require stronger business investment

Simon Tilford
26 March 2012
Economic recovery in Europe is being held back by the unprecedented weakness of business investment. Despite a secular decline in business taxation and labour market reforms that have boosted the power of capital relative to labour, the ratio of investment-to-GDP across the EU is at a 60 year low. Rather...
A big eurozone gamble

Eurozone policy-makers place a big bet

Simon Tilford
13 March 2012
The ECB's decision to lend almost unlimited amounts of money to Europe's banks has bought the eurozone some time. But there is risk that time will be wasted.
Europe's growth strategy: All supply and no demand

Europe's growth strategy: All supply and no demand

Philip Whyte
27 February 2012
Europe's growth performance since 2008 has been abject. The reason is that fiscal policy has done too little to offset the impact of deleveraging in the private sector.
France: Why the self-flagellation?

France: Why the self-flagellation?

Simon Tilford
10 February 2012
France has its economic weaknesses. But in some important respects its model holds out better prospects for a return to economic growth across the eurozone than does Germany's.
Greece's real challenge

Greece's real challenge

Katinka Barysch
03 February 2012
Greece's new bail-out package needs less austerity and more structural reforms. A bloated and immobile public sector remains a drag on growth.