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Britain & other member-states
Single market, competition & trade
Macroeconomics & the euro
EU institutions & treaties
Energy & climate
Foreign policy & defence
Justice & home affairs
China & Russia

Britain & other member-states

The cost of Brexit to June 2019

John Springford

16 October 2019

The UK economy is 2.9 per cent smaller than it would be if the UK had voted to remain in the European Union, according to our latest estimate of the cost of Brexit to the end of the second quarter of 2019.

Deal or no deal? Five questions on Boris Johnson's Brexit talks

Charles Grant

20 September 2019

The rough shape of a deal between the UK and the EU is emerging: Northern Ireland would follow EU rules in some areas but not others. Yet the two sides remain far apart.

More research and press in Britain & other member-states
Single market, competition & trade

The capital markets union: Should the EU shut out the City of London?

Jonathan Faull, Simon Gleeson

15 July 2019

The EU's capital markets union is intended to make its economy more resilient. That goal will be easier to achieve if the EU remains open to City of London markets.

Now is the worst time for 'global Britain'

John Springford, Sam Lowe

27 June 2019

Global trade integration has stalled since the financial crisis, and is unlikely to pick up steam any time soon. In that context, plans for ‘global Britain’ will do little to offset the costs of Brexit.

More research and press in Single market, competition & trade
Macroeconomics & the euro

Can the euro rival the dollar?

Christian Odendahl, Adam Tooze

04 December 2018

The international role of the US dollar is deeply entrenched. To change that, Europe – and Germany in particular – would need to rethink some core economic policies.

Macron, Merkel and the future of the euro

Charles Grant

24 May 2017

Emmanuel Macron wants to change the way the eurozone is run. But can he persuade Angela Merkel?

More research and press in Macroeconomics & the euro
EU institutions & treaties

Can Josep Borrell get EU foreign policy off the ground?

Ian Bond, Luigi Scazzieri

30 September 2019

The EU’s new foreign policy chief, Josep Borrell, may struggle to co-ordinate the Union’s external activities in the face of rival European commissioners and unruly member-states.

Von der Leyen's bumpy road to becoming Commission president

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska

01 August 2019

The European Parliament has narrowly elected Ursula von der Leyen as the first female Commission president. Now she faces the difficult task of assembling a team of commissioners to deliver her priorities.

More research and press in EU institutions & treaties
Energy & climate

Should the EU tax imported CO2?

Sam Lowe

24 September 2019

An EU carbon border tax would be tricky to design, costly to implement and sure to provoke legal challenges. But if done properly there are reasons to think it could succeed.

Moving back the finishing line: The EU's progress on climate

Noah Gordon

23 September 2019

European leaders’ aim to go carbon neutral by 2050 will not happen without much tougher emissions curbs by 2030, and a sizeable increase in research and development funding.

More research and press in Energy & climate
Foreign policy & defence

One step closer to a rupture: Europe, the US and Turkey

Luigi Scazzieri

17 October 2019

Turkey’s relations with the EU and US are in freefall after its new offensive in northern Syria. The EU should do what it can to avoid a broader rupture between Ankara and the West.

Up in arms: Warring over Europe's arms export regime

Sophia Besch, Beth Oppenheim

10 September 2019

The European Union's poorly co-ordinated arms export policy is undermining Europe's foreign policy, credibility as a principled power and defence industry. The EU should take steps to move towards convergence.

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Justice & home affairs

The EU's Security Union: A bill of health

Camino Mortera-Martinez

21 June 2019

The Security Union has a mixed record. The next EU leaders should learn from its successes and failures to deal with fresh security questions like migration, China and disruptive technologies.

Catch me if you can: The European Arrest Warrant and the end of mutual trust

Camino Mortera-Martinez

01 April 2019

EU countries trust each other less than they used to, making them less willing to co-operate.

More research and press in Justice & home affairs
China & Russia

How the Kremlin sees the rest of the world

Charles Grant

29 May 2019

The New Statesman

Russian analysts reckon the US will be less focused on intervening around the world and will be more nationalist, mercantilist and interest-focused.

Putin's last term: Taking the long view

Ian Bond, Igor Yurgens

23 January 2019

Vladimir Putin has dominated the Russian political scene since 1999. But he is now in what should be his final term as president. He faces economic, social and foreign policy problems; and he has to decide what will happen at the end of his term of office.The performance of...

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