Research
The EU's drive on China: What EV tariffs mean for Europe
31 October 2024
The EU has imposed fresh tariffs on Chinese EVs. It has good reason to worry about Chinese subsidies, but it is unclear that the tariffs are the right answer to Europe’s lagging competitiveness.
Competition policy must reflect Europe's reality, not its aspirations
23 October 2024
The European Commission is under pressure to tweak competition laws to promote European innovation.
The EU and Türkiye: A relationship adrift
21 October 2024
A plethora of disagreements haunt EU-Türkiye relations. Without a positive vision, things may only get worse.
Georgia and Moldova: Putin's dominoes?
17 October 2024
Georgia and Moldova are EU candidate countries facing elections this month. Both risk coming under increased Russian influence, but for very different reasons. The EU should invest in keeping them in its camp.
A mere spectator? Europe and the imploding Middle East
09 October 2024
The conflict in the Middle East is expanding. Thus far, Europeans have played a minor role, but they might be able to help prevent the situation getting worse.
The EU and the rule of law: Much movement, little change
07 October 2024
The EU has strengthened its tools to defend the rule of law, but it needs to start applying them more forcefully.
Surviving Trump 2.0: What does the US election mean for Europe's economy?
03 October 2024
While EU leaders fret about a second Trump presidency, they should not be complacent about Kamala Harris’s prospects. Neither president would fundamentally change the economic dilemmas facing Europe.
What a Harris presidency would mean for Europe
30 September 2024
A Harris presidency would signal continuity for transatlantic relations. But Europeans should not think they can turn back the clock to the pre-Trump era.
All at sea? UK-German co-operation in the Nordic-Baltic region
26 September 2024
Whatever happens in Ukraine, Russia will remain a threat to EU and NATO interests in the Nordic-Baltic region. The UK and Germany should try to co-operate more closely there.
Draghi's plan to rescue the European economy: Will EU leaders do whatever it takes?
17 September 2024
Mario Draghi offers EU leaders a convincing roadmap out of economic stagnation. But the road to implementation is going to be politically difficult.
Articles
The road to Europe for Georgia and Moldova: No diversion via Moscow
24 October 2024
Encompass
Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine spent decades trying to persuade the EU to offer them the prospect of membership. It took Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 for them to get the EU to agree.
Economie Interview Sander Tordoir: 'Er hangt een angstsluier over de Duitse economie'
19 October 2024
de Volkskrant
De ooit zo succesvolle Duitse economie is piepend en krakend tot stilstand gekomen. Maar er is hoop, zegt econoom Sander Tordoir.
Taking the pulse: Is China becoming Germany's new dependency?
10 October 2024
Carnegie Europe
Berlin’s “nein” in the vote on introducing EU tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles came despite the fact that the European Commission was following World Trade Organisation’s rules to offset China’s automotive subsidies.
Navigating data sovereignty: Lessons for Taiwan
07 October 2024
Taiwan Insight
Governments are paying growing attention to the concept of data sovereignty. This poses challenges for countries like Taiwan, whose economies have been built around open digital trade.
Want a ‘reset’ with the EU, PM? Here’s how you could pull it off…
02 October 2024
The Independent
With Keir Starmer in Brussels to restore post-Brexit relationships with European leaders, Ian Bond suggests ‘low-key’ is the name of the game when it comes to influencing foreign policy.
Warum der Draghi- Bericht eine Riesenchance für Deutschland ist
17 September 2024
Handelsblatt
Die Bundesrepublik steht im Zentrum der Krise. Draghis Analyse ist vor allem für uns ein Angebot, die Probleme im EU-Konzert zu lösen. Von Lucas Guttenberg, Nils Redeker und Sander Tordoir.
Press
Here are 3 ways the US election could change the future of Europe
03 November 2024
Fortune Magazine
Trump, the Republican candidate, plans to impose an additional 10%-20% in cross-border tariffs, making trade expensive and possibly weakening the euro. “Tariffs will seriously dampen the EU’s economic growth,” Zach Meyers, assistant director of the Centre for European Reform, told Fortune.
Europe Express: Not much better with Harris?
02 November 2024
Financial Times
Writing for the Centre for European Reform think-tank, Aslak Berg and Zach Meyers suggest that the EU might find Harris difficult to deal with on economic issues:. . . while Harris would likely be more interested than Trump in transatlantic dialogue, both candidates have economic priorities which will put Europe in an awkward position — including getting tougher on China, and boosting US jobs in sectors sensitive to Europe, such as vehicle production.
Europa y el mundo contienen el aliento ante el temor de una vuelta al poder de Trump que agitaría el orden global
03 November 2024
Publico
Luigi Scazzieri, del Centre for European Reform (CER), también destaca que un segundo mandato de Trump generará un "nuevo periodo de turbulencias transatlánticas, alta tensión comercial y en el seno de la OTAN y con respecto a Ucrania, China y Oriente Próximo".
US election: Brussels worried about shifting security, defense balance
02 November 2024
Anadolu Ajansı
Luigi Scazzieri, transatlantic relations expert at the Centre for European Reform said: "Trump has also made no secret of his dislike for NATO and belief that Europeans are freeriding on the US for security" and a Trump victory would divide the EU and put it under pressure.On the other hand, a Kamala Harris victory would likely mean continuity with current Biden administration policies, according to Scazzieri.
De economie van Europa staat op zijn kop: Duitsland kwakkelt, Zuid-Europa floreert
01 November 2024
NRC Handelsblad
Ook econoom Sander Tordoir, verbonden aan denktank Centre for European Reform, erkent de invloed van het toerisme, die weer profiteert van de economische groei van de VS en de sterke dollar: „Onlangs sprak ik met twee economen van een zakenbank. Die hadden twee keer de groei van de Spaanse economie te laag ingeschat, omdat ze de portemonnee van de Amerikaanse toerist hadden onderschat.”
US and China tensions could herald new troubles for Europe’s economy, Volkswagen’s woes
31 October 2024
EurActiv
“There's no doubt that Trump will do something to Germany because he's been very clear that he's targeting Germany's surplus. So that definitely will be a rough ride,” Sander Tordoir, chief economist at the Centre for European Reform (CER), told Euractiv.However, Tordoir noted that Trump’s re-election could also incentivise Beijing to attempt to seek closer ties with Brussels.
France allows six Russian army deserters, and partners, to enter country, apply for asylum
30 October 2024
Voice of America
A French court ruled in 2023 that Russians who refuse to fight can claim refugee status, but most are not able to travel abroad to lodge an asylum application, said Ian Bond, a Russia expert and deputy director of the Centre for European Reform.
Britten prijzen Marjan Rintel tijdens zakendiner
25 October 2024
De Telegraaf
Wat de Britten betreft, gaat dit alleen maar toenemen: „De economie in het Verenigd Koninkrijk lijdt”, volgens Charles Grant, directeur van het Centre for European Reform, een denktank over Europese integratie, gevestigd in Londen.
Trage groei, exploderende schulden, klimaatschade en protectionisme: deze cocktail kost het IMF heel wat hoofdbrekens
25 October 2024
NRC Handelsblad
Die spanning zie je ook bij de IMF-aanbevelingen aan China, zegt Sander Tordoir, econoom bij denktank Centre for European Reform en IMF-kenner. „Toen het IMF eerder dit jaar in China op bezoek ging, kreeg het land te horen dat het goed zou zijn voorzichtig te bezuinigen, om te voorkomen dat het te diep in de schulden zou raken. Deze week klonk het juist dat het goed zou zijn de zwakke binnenlandse vraag aan te jagen via de overheidsbegroting.”
How the US presidential election could shape relations with Europe
25 October 2024
Semafor
There’s bipartisan consensus in Washington on reducing trade with China, and the EU is largely on board - but Europe’s more trade-intensive economy means it also risks becoming “collateral damage” in the US-China economic rivalry, two experts argued for the Centre for European Reform. Many European firms have made significant investments in China, and cheap Chinese goods have contributed to lower prices amid continent-wide concerns about purchasing power, meaning the EU needs to be more “selective” in its approach to Beijing to avoid an all-out trade war, they wrote.
Podcasts
CER Podcast: Unpacking Europe: Moldova and Georgia: In Brussels' orbit, or Moscow's?
31 October 2024
Ian Bond and Zselyke Csaky discuss the elections in Georgia and Moldova.
CER Podcast: Unpacking Europe: Europe and the Middle East – just a bystander?
14 October 2024
Anunita Chandrasekar and Luigi Scazzieri discuss Europe's role in the Middle East conflict.
CER Podcast: Unpacking Europe: What does the US presidential election mean for Europe’s economy?
03 October 2024
Alan Beattie, Aslak Berg and Zach Meyers discuss the transatlantic economic relationship.
CER Podcast: Unpacking Europe: Evaluating Mario Draghi's report on competitiveness
13 September 2024
Elisabetta Cornago, Luigi Scazzieri, Sander Tordoir and Zach Meyers discuss Mario Draghi's report.
CER Podcast: Unpacking Europe: NATO at 75
02 August 2024
Luigi Scazzieri and Sophia Besch discuss NATO and European security.
Events
Discussion on 'Russia's war of aggression against Ukraine and long-term prospects for European security'
08 October 2024
London
With Daniel Fried, Weiser Family Distinguished Fellow, Atlantic Council
CER/Delegation of the EU to the UK Conservative party conference fringe event on 'Working together to support Ukraine'
01 October 2024
Hall 8a, The ICC, Birmingham
With George Freeman, Bernard Jenkin, Alicia Kearns, Isabell Poppelbaum and Valerii Zaluzhnyi
CER/Delegation of the EU to the UK discussion on 'The soft power of languages'
26 September 2024
London
With Alison Graves, Bernardette Holmes and Dominic Schroeder. Listen to the opening remarks here.
CER/Delegation of the EU to the UK Labour party conference fringe event on 'Working together for European security'
23 September 2024
Auditorium 1C, ACC, Liverpool
With Stella Creasy, Kitty Donaldson, Stephen Doughty and Pedro Serrano
CER/Delegation of the EU to the UK Liberal Democrat party conference fringe event on 'Working together towards an inclusive world order'
16 September 2024
Empress Room, The Grand, Brighton
With Yevheniia Kravchuk, Layla Moran, Pedro Serrano and Julie Smith