Research

What will the EU election results mean for Europe?

What will the EU election results mean for Europe?

11 June 2024
The populist right and far right will not dominate the new European Parliament. But the election results will influence the EU’s agenda and legislation over the next five years.
China and the West: The gap is set to grow

China and the West: The gap is set to grow

05 June 2024
China’s relations with the US and the EU are likely to worsen, because of both its aid for Russia and its economic strategy.
Is the Spitzenkandidat process a waste of time?

Is the Spitzenkandidat process a waste of time?

03 June 2024
The Spitzenkandidat (lead candidate) process has not fulfilled its promise of engaging the average voter. Still, it has helped ‘europeanise’ the European Parliament elections and is worth persisting with.
Big tech rivalry could be the key to competition in AI

Big tech rivalry could be the key to competition in AI

30 May 2024
Competition authorities might need to accept that today’s large technology firms will play a key role in artificial intelligence. They need to focus on ensuring they compete fiercely – rather than peacefully co-exist.
Delivering the goods: An EU trade agenda for the next UK government

Delivering the goods: An EU trade agenda for the next UK government

28 May 2024
The Labour Party’s red lines will restrict its ambitions for changing the EU-UK relationship, but if it forms a government it should push Brussels for concessions, particularly on trade in goods.
The new migration and asylum pact: Smoke and mirrors?

The new migration and asylum pact: Smoke and mirrors?

23 May 2024
The EU’s new asylum rules are unlikely to make the current system more humane and effective, or less controversial. The EU should rethink its approach to co-operation with third countries.
Working hand in hand? EU-UK co-operation in supporting Ukraine

Working hand in hand? EU-UK co-operation in supporting Ukraine

20 May 2024
The EU and the UK have worked together closely to support Ukraine. Now they need to sustain support and strengthen their co-operation to be ready for possible US disengagement.
Europe must choose: Multiculturalism or stagnation?

Europe must choose: Multiculturalism or stagnation?

09 May 2024
An increasingly multi-ethnic society would safeguard Europe’s prosperity – or it can opt for nativism, labour shortages and higher taxes. 
Can the EU hold back the great tech decoupling?

Can the EU hold back the great tech decoupling?

03 May 2024
The US wants Europe to adopt stronger limits on high-tech goods trade with China. In response, the EU should insist the US stick with de-risking, not decoupling, and demand greater transatlantic economic co-operation.
The European Parliament elections: A sharp right turn?

The European Parliament elections: A sharp right turn?

30 April 2024
Right-wing forces are set to make sizeable gains in the European Parliament elections. That will tilt the Parliament right on many issues and could give these parties momentum nationally.

Articles

Germany’s defense engagement in the Indo-Pacific is a balancing actGermany’s defense engagement in the Indo-Pacific is a balancing act

Germany’s defense engagement in the Indo-Pacific is a balancing act

15 June 2024
The Diplomat
Like the 2021 edition, Germany’s 2024 Indo-Pacific Deployment will signal Berlin’s commitment to the region – and the limits of its presence.
Can the EU hold back the great tech decoupling?

Can the EU hold back the great tech decoupling?

10 June 2024
Encompass
The US has been far more aggressive than the EU in constraining China. US leaders talk about having a “small yard with a high fence” with restrictions on trade and investment only in areas sensitive to national security.
Europe tilts right

Europe tilts right

10 June 2024
Ekathimerini
The votes are still being counted, but the European Parliament election results point to a surge of support for right-wing and far-right parties.
Chinese exports threaten Europe even more than the US

Chinese exports threaten Europe even more than the US

07 June 2024
Politico
Biden is right to heed working class voters in Pennsylvania. The Continent, which has even more to lose from a second China shock, better start listening to its workers too.

The new migration and asylum pact: Smoke and mirrors?

27 May 2024
Cyprus Mail
In April this year, the European Parliament agreed to a reform of the Union’s rulebook on migration and asylum, approving the different legislative files that make up the so-called New Migration and Asylum Pact.
Judy Asks: Are Europeans prepared to send troops to Ukraine?

Judy Asks: Are Europeans prepared to send troops to Ukraine?

16 May 2024
Carnegie Europe
Deploying troops to Ukraine, even for non-combat duties, entails risks most European countries are currently unwilling to take. The priority right now must be ramping up aid to Kyiv.

Press

Election aftermath - MEPs to watch on economic and financial policy

14 June 2024
Euronews
“One key reason for Europe’s poor economic performance is low productivity, the lack of financing available for high-potential, high-risk businesses, and the barriers to innovative European firms building scale across the Union,” researchers from the think-tank Centre for European Reform (CER) wrote in a post-election analysis.  

Bound by rules and economics, EU trails US on China tariffs

14 June 2024
Reuters
Aslak Berg, research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, said the European Union was moving towards the U.S. position, but not to the same extent and that it was still using its traditional tools."It's more politically sensitive, but it's not legally different from cases of steel tariffs," he said, referring to Wednesday's action on EVs.

EU tariffs on Chinese EVs popular with industry, but China’s trade chamber warns against implications

12 June 2024
EurActiv
Sander Tordoir, chief economist at the Centre for European Reform, shared his view, saying: “We are responding. We are not the aggressor; we are merely levelling the playing field.” The problem of China’s government subsidies, he said, is exacerbated by low domestic consumption in the country, which makes its companies ever more dependent on exports.

Gulf money’s targeting of European telecoms raises hackles

11 June 2024
Politico
“Countries in the Middle East have such huge trade surpluses that they’re kind ofdesperate to find places to put dollars and euros. And I guess European telecomslooks pretty cheap at the moment,” said Zach Meyers of the Centre of EuropeanReform think-tank.

Europe's far right seeks policy influence to match seat gains

10 June 2024
Reuters
Luigi Scazzieri, senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, said the centre-right EPP has already cooled on attempts to fold broader environmental policies into the Green Deal package. Scazzieri said he could also envisage a right-wing push to increase external processing of migrants and a tougher passage of reforms required to allow EU enlargement, such as reducing the need for unanimity in decisions.

Labour might be a racing certainty, but it faces some big hurdles in government

09 June 2024
The Observer
The Centre for European Reform has estimated that UK annual tax revenues would have been about £40bn higher if the country had not left the EU.

The EU's post-elections future

08 June 2024
Financial Times
The coming years will show whether the EU’s new asylum rules... will work. Luigi Scazzieri of the Centre for European Reform think-tank is among those who doubt the measures will suffice.

Sidste udkald for Europa

06 June 2024
Weekendavisen
Hvorfor taber Europa terræn i den globale økonomi? Ifølge Zach Meyers, vicedirektør for den britiske tænketank Centre for European Reform, er det en kombination af årsager. »En vigtig årsag er, at demografien ikke er på Europas side. Vi har en aldrende befolkning; der bliver færre og færre til at udføre jobbene.«

Quiénes son los aliados de Putin en Europa y cómo pueden influir en las elecciones al Parlamento Europeo

06 June 2024
BBC News Mundo
“Existen dos maneras de hacer que tu país sea más poderoso. Una es invertir internamente para hacerlo más poderoso y la otra es invertir para debilitar a tus enemigos. Y muy a menudo lo segundo es más barato y más eficaz que lo primero”, le dice a BBC Mundo Ian Bond, subdirector del Centre for European Reform, con sede en Londres.

Brits think Labour will unpick Brexit. They may be disappointed.

05 June 2024
Politico
Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform think-tank, said economics could prove the most crucial factor in deciding a Labour government's EU policy“Most Labour members and party activists are strongly pro-European and would like to go back into the EU. So there's pressure from them already, but the leadership has resisted that pressure for the last few years and can go on resisting it if it wants,” he said.

Podcasts

CER Podcast: Unpacking Europe: Winners, losers and implications of the European elections

12 June 2024
Christina Keßler, Luigi Scazzieri and Zselyke Csaky discuss the European election results.

CER Podcast: Unpacking Europe: What to expect from a more right-wing European Parliament

29 May 2024
Christina Keßler, Zselyke Csaky and Luigi Scazzieri discuss the European Parliament elections.

CER Podcast: Unpacking Europe: How is China's foreign policy shifting?

Charles Grant, Dr Yu Jie
15 May 2024
Charles Grant and Dr Yu Jie discuss China's foreign policy.

CER Podcast: Unpacking Europe: Evaluating Enrico Letta’s report on the single market

24 April 2024
Aslak Berg and Zach Meyers discuss Enrico Letta's report.

CER Podcast: Unlocking better regulation in Europe

Zach Meyers, Anthony Teasdale
11 April 2024
Anthony Teasdale and Zach Meyers discuss better regulation.

Events

CER/Kreab breakfast on 'What will it take for the EU's capital markets union to finally take off?'

11 June 2024
Brussels
With John Berrigan, Director-General for Financial Stability, Financial Services & Capital Markets Union, European Commission

CER/HSF hybrid discussion on 'Why do the European Parliament elections matter?'

16 May 2024
Hybrid London/Zoom
With Eli Gateva, Catherine Fieschi, Tom Nuttall, Anja Richter, Nathalie Tocci and Klaus Welle