Research
Estados Unidos podría arreglárselas con una desglobalización. Europa no
09 August 2022
ES Global
La verdadera “desglobalización” —la desintegración de la economía global— se desencadenaría por un acontecimiento político, por ejemplo, que China invadiera Taiwán.
The EU, NATO and European security in a time of war
05 August 2022
Russia is not the only threat to European security. NATO remains essential for deterrence and defence, but the EU must also play a bigger security role.
Bulletin issue 145 - August/September 2022
03 August 2022
- Using sanctioned Russian assets to rebuild Ukraine will not be easy, Camino Mortera-Martinez, Zach Meyers
- Beyond European strategic autonomy?, Luigi Scazzieri
- The US could cope with deglobalisation. Europe couldn't, John Springford
Macron is serious about the 'European Political Community'
01 August 2022
French President Emmanuel Macron is committed to creating a ‘European Political Community’, distinct from the EU. European states not in the EU – including the UK – should take the concept seriously.
Tú no eres alemán, pero también te van a cortar el gas
31 July 2022
EL Confidencial
Yo no sé qué más emergencias necesitamos para quitarnos todos del gas, como buenamente podamos. Que sí, los alemanes los que más. Pero eso no nos da derecho a castigarlos.
First help Ukraine win the war. Then help it win the peace
28 July 2022
Even a partial Russian victory in Ukraine would damage Western interests. Ukraine needs much more help to expel Russian forces, and to rebuild its infrastructure, economy and institutions afterwards.
Mortera Martinez: “Il conflitto mette alle corde la stabilità dei governi europei”
22 July 2022
Il Fatto Quotidiano
“Direi che c’è un collegamento diretto tra il conflitto in Ucraina e la stabilità dei governi di alcuni Paesi europei. A settembre-ottobre le cose peggioreranno. L’alta inflazione e la crisi energetica ci mostreranno la vera natura dei governi europei”.
Italy and the EU after Draghi
21 July 2022
UK in a changing Europe
The end of Mario Draghi’s tenure as Italian prime minister opens a new phase in Italy’s politics. Draghi’s government of national unity provided the country with political stability at a pivotal moment, steering it through much of the pandemic and putting together a €190 billion plan to use money from the EU’s pandemic recovery fund.
Unlocking industrial data: Why the EU should rethink the Data Act
19 July 2022
Encompass
The ink is not yet dry on the EU’s two flagship tech laws, the Digital Markets Act and the Digital Services Act.
Italy after Draghi
19 July 2022
Mario Draghi’s tenure as Italian prime minister could be ending. Draghi would leave Italy stronger than he found it, but it will be up to his successors not to squander his legacy.
The impact of the Ukraine war on global energy markets
14 July 2022
Instability in world energy markets will continue beyond the war in Ukraine. Europe will be less dependent on Russia’s fossil fuels, but a weakened Russia could still cause problems.
A G7 energy tariff on Russia would be better than a price cap
11 July 2022
A price cap on Russian oil would cut Russia’s income, but a tariff would help governments support households and businesses dealing with high energy prices.
The EU's plan to unlock industrial data needs a rethink
08 July 2022
The EU’s ambition for industry to better exploit data is a worthy and realistic one. But expanding some of the GDPR’s rules to industrial data would be a mistake.
A new EU fiscal regime could make the ECB truly independent
30 June 2022
The ECB must be free to target inflation and prevent spreads rising without encouraging fiscal irresponsibility. A new, credible fiscal regime is needed, with a permanent EU green investment fund at its centre.
Four reasons why the UK’s Northern Ireland Protocol bill is a mistake
27 June 2022
The UK promises to “fix” the Northern Ireland protocol with unilateral legislation. This will be a major step backwards in trying to resolve genuine practical problems under the protocol.
What can we know about the cost of Brexit so far?
09 June 2022
The UK's GDP is 5.2 per cent smaller than a modelled ‘doppelgänger’ UK that did not leave the EU; investment is 13.7 per cent lower, and goods trade, 13.6 per cent lower. Most of those costs are down to Brexit.
Press
Facebook’s unlikely new public face: How Nick Clegg went from political wipeout in London to Mark Zuckerberg’s inner circle at Meta
04 August 2022
Fortune
“It will not work,” Zach Meyers, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, says of Clegg’s efforts to kick responsibility back to governments. Content moderation is a “hot potato,” he notes - governments don’t want to be responsible for policing speech, either.
Brexit is a flop, and the voters know it. So why can't Labour call for a closer bond with Europe?
31 July 2022
The Observer
Yet three weeks before the Liverpool speech, Sir Keir used an address to the Centre for European Reform to reject categorically the suggestion that a Labour government should attempt to negotiate some form of customs union with the single market – a prospect of economic expansion so exciting that even the announcement that talks were being considered would stimulate a sudden surge in capital investment.
Political turmoil lights the powder trails to Italy's debt bomb
30 July 2022
The Telegraph
John Springford, deputy director of the Centre for European Reform, says: “The consensus is that Italy's debt is sustainable subject to political decision.“If we end up with a pretty populist right wing government, which just decides to throw fiscal caution to the wind, then obviously that can change.”
Will the euro crisis flare up again?
29 July 2022
Money Week
As Luigi Scazzieri of the Centre for European Reform, a think-tank, told the Financial Times, “the whole idea of joint borrowing by the EU is at stake here”.
Doubts over Italy’s access to €800bn EU Covid fund after Mario Draghi’s exit
26 July 2022
Financial Times
“The whole idea of joint borrowing by the EU is at stake here,” said Luigi Scazzieri, senior fellow at the Centre for European Reform think-tank. “The perceived success or failure of the fund depends on whether it seen be successful in Italy, or whether it is seen to be wasteful.”
Giorgia Meloni: right-wing populist and unlikely disco star on track to be Italy’s first female prime minister
24 July 2022
The Sunday Times
“She comes across as extremely authentic and doesn’t seem like a particularly polished figure, and I think that’s part of her appeal,” Luigi Scazzieri, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, said. “The heavy Roman accent also kind of helps.”
Brexit victory! Australia trade deal 'will boost UK economy by £69 billion
22 July 2022
The Daily Express
The Centre for European Reform (CER) released a study in June which claimed the results of Brexit on the UK economy are "troubling".
CER's Deputy Director John Springford said in his "sobering" conclusion that in the final quarter of 2021, the UK's GDP was five percent smaller.
He added: "It should trouble Labour and the Conservatives that the economy is lagging so far behind its peers."
CER's Deputy Director John Springford said in his "sobering" conclusion that in the final quarter of 2021, the UK's GDP was five percent smaller.
He added: "It should trouble Labour and the Conservatives that the economy is lagging so far behind its peers."
Everyone in UK to pay another £300 for Brexit – on top of £1,000 it’s already cost you
22 July 2022
The Metro
Estimates published last month by the Centre for European Reform suggest the UK economy was around £31 billion (5%) smaller by the end of last year than it would have been if it had stayed in the EU’s customs union and single market.
Far right in front for snap Italy election after Draghi goes
21 July 2022
The Guardian
Should a Brothers of Italy-led coalition win, it “would offer a much more disruptive scenario for Italy and the EU”, wrote Luigi Scazzieri, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform.
TRT World: What international challenges will the next UK Prime Minister face?
20 July 2022
The conflict in Ukraine, tensions with allies over Brexit and rebuilding international trust in the post-Boris era: Britain’s next Prime Minister will have a lengthy list of international challenges to deal with.
Podcasts
CER podcast: Draghi out - What next for Italy?
26 July 2022
In this week's CER podcast Rosie Giorgi spoke to Luigi Scazzieri about Mario Draghi’s resignation as Italian Prime Minister, Giorgia Meloni and a probable right-wing coalition government.
Ask CER - Episode 5: Europe's defence muscle, Russian-Western relations, central bank digital currencies and the EU's green transition
13 July 2022
You asked, we answered: the fifth episode of our 'Ask CER' podcast series.
CER podcast: What next on the path for Ukraine's EU membership?
01 July 2022
Ian Bond spoke to three senior figures involved in Ukraine's application for EU membership, who discussed what's next on the path for Ukraine becoming an EU member-state.
CER podcast: Is Brexit to blame for Britain's economic woes?
14 June 2022
In this week's CER podcast Rosie Giorgi spoke to economists John Springford and Thomas Sampson about how Brexit has impacted the UK economy.
CER podcast: Unpacking the EU's new tech laws - and the UK's answer to them
27 May 2022
In this week’s CER podcast Rosie Giorgi speaks to Zach Meyers about the motivations behind the new laws, the companies that will be affected and what the UK is doing to promote digital competition and online safety.
Events
Conservative party conference fringe event on 'The future of the EU-UK relationship'
04 October 2022
Birmingham
Speakers:
Markus Ferber, MEP, Christian Social Union
Chair: Charles Grant, Director, Centre for European Reform
Markus Ferber, MEP, Christian Social Union
Chair: Charles Grant, Director, Centre for European Reform
Labour Party Conference fringe event on 'The future of the EU-UK relationship'
26 September 2022
Liverpool
Speakers:
Stella Creasy, MP for Walthamstow
David Lammy MP, Shadow Secretary of State for Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Affairs
João Vale de Almeida, Ambassador, Delegation of the European Union to the United Kingdom
Chair: Charles Grant, Director, Centre for European Reform
Stella Creasy, MP for Walthamstow
David Lammy MP, Shadow Secretary of State for Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Affairs
João Vale de Almeida, Ambassador, Delegation of the European Union to the United Kingdom
Chair: Charles Grant, Director, Centre for European Reform
Liberal Democrats Party Conference fringe event on 'The future of the EU-UK relationship'
19 September 2022
Brighton
Speakers:
Sarah Ludford, Liberal Democrat Lords Spokesman on Europe
João Vale de Almeida, Ambassador, Delegation of the European Union to the United Kingdom
Chair: Charles Grant, Director, Centre for European Reform
Sarah Ludford, Liberal Democrat Lords Spokesman on Europe
João Vale de Almeida, Ambassador, Delegation of the European Union to the United Kingdom
Chair: Charles Grant, Director, Centre for European Reform
Hybrid discussion on 'EU-US co-operation on public health'
13 July 2022
Hybrid Brussels/Zoom
With Pierre Delsaux and Gary Disbrow. Watch the opening remarks here.
24th birthday party with Sir Keir Starmer
04 July 2022
London
Hosted by Adrian O'Neill, Ambassador of Ireland to the UK. Listen to Sir Keir’s speech here.