The Middle East & North Africa

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The dangers of Karzai’s re-election

The dangers of Karzai’s re-election

Tomas Valasek
10 September 2009
The final result of the Afghan election may not be known until the end of September, but it looks as if President Hamid Karzai will have done well enough to avoid a second round of voting.
Iran's nuclear problem

Iran's nuclear problem: Ever harder to fix

Tomas Valasek
03 August 2009
Iran’s theocratic regime remains in power, despite persistent divisions within the ruling elite. Whatever the long-term fate of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, the unrest that followed June’s presidential election probably makes it harder for the West to persuade Iran to set aside its nuclear ambitions.
Barack Obama...
Iran, elections, and nuclear weapons

Iran, elections, and nuclear weapons

Tomas Valasek
10 July 2009
What the future holds for Iran's theocratic regime is hard to read. True, the government has ensured its own survival by suppressing last month's protests there with brutal force.
The EU's approach to Israel and the Palestinians: A move in the right direction

The EU's approach to Israel and the Palestinians: A move in the right direction

Clara Marina O'Donnell
18 June 2009
Divisions amongst Palestinians and the reluctance of the new Israeli government to work towards a viable two-state solution weaken the prospects for peace in the Middle East.
Obama, disarmament and Iran

Obama, disarmament and Iran

Tomas Valasek
02 February 2009
Barack Obama has pledged to take steps to rid the world of nuclear weapons. “I will not authorise the development of new nuclear weapons. And I will make the goal of eliminating nuclear weapons worldwide a central element of US nuclear policy”, he wrote in December 2008.
Issue 64 - 2009 file thumbnail

Issue 64 - 2009

Tomas Valasek, Nick Butler, Dieter Helm
30 January 2009
Gaza, Europe and empty gestures

Gaza, Europe and empty gestures

Clara Marina O'Donnell
08 January 2009
'We're fed up with empty gestures', the Israeli prime minister told a high level delegation from the EU. Several foreign ministers and EU officials had come to the Middle East to try to help end the war raging in Gaza between Israel and Hamas, which has killed over 700 Palestinians and 10 Israelis in the twelve days since it started.
The EU and Iran: How to make conditional engagement work

The EU and Iran: How to make conditional engagement work

Steven Everts
19 December 2008
The IAEA's decision to censure Iran for its nuclear activities but also to give Tehran time to co-operate with inspectors creates a breathing space. The EU should use it to put forward a broader set of policies, fleshing out the political and economic incentives it is offering Tehran, while making...
What Arab countries think of democracy

What Arab countries think of democracy

Clara Marina O'Donnell
21 May 2008
Earlier this month, the Arab Reform Initiative (ARI) presented its first report on the state of democratic reform in the Arab world. ARI is a consortium of a dozen leading Arab research institutes which try to promote peaceful democratic reform across the Middle East (CER and a few other non-Arab think-tanks are associated with the initiative).
For a new Iran policy

For a new Iran policy

Christoph Bertram
01 April 2008
For almost six years now the West has tried – and failed – to stop the Iranian nuclear programme. Instead, nuclear enrichment has become a matter of Iranian national pride and sovereignty.
Bulletin issue 59

Issue 59 - 2008

Hugo Brady, Philip Whyte, Christoph Bertram
28 March 2008
The Egypt-Gaza boarder breach: A wake up call? thumbnail

The Egypt-Gaza boarder breach: A wake up call?

Clara Marina O'Donnell
08 February 2008
Events on the ground in Israel and Gaza have taken a new turn for the worse. But the latest crisis could lead to a more constructive approach in solving the Middle East stand-off.
A new phase in EU-Iran diplomacy

A new phase in EU-Iran diplomacy

Tomas Valasek
25 January 2008
The US caused a small earthquake in the foreign policy circles when it announced, in November 2007, that it believes that Iran is no longer producing nuclear weapons.
Bringing Syria into the Middle East peace process

Bringing Syria into the Middle East peace process

Clara Marina O'Donnell
23 November 2007
The nearer the Annapolis conference comes, the less it looks likely to deliver peace between Israelis and Palestinians. The weakness of the key actors and the current conditions on the ground in the Palestinian territories offer little reason for optimism.
The EU should talk to Hamas

The EU should talk to Hamas

Charles Grant, Clara Marina O'Donnell
01 August 2007
In Britain, senior diplomats are mulling over whether to revise the government’s policy of not talking to Hamas. Until now Britain has staunchly defended the EU policy of opposing talks with Hamas. That policy, shared by the other members of the ‘quartet’ – the UN, the US and Russia...
Bulletin issue 55

Issue 55 - 2007

Charles Grant, Clara Marina O'Donnell, Katinka Barysch, Simon Maxwell
27 July 2007
The EU should talk to Hamas

The EU should talk to Hamas

Charles Grant, Clara Marina O'Donnell
11 July 2007
The conspicuous role of Hamas in the recent release of Alan Johnston was not only good news for the BBC correspondent. Hamas showed that it cares about how it is perceived abroad, that it wants to be considered a credible actor, and that it hopes to end its international isolation.
The EU and Arab reform

The EU and Arab reform

Charles Grant, Tomas Valsek
27 April 2007
The Arab Reform Initiative held its annual conference in Amman, Jordan, on 18th April. Founded in 2005, ARI is a consortium of a dozen research centres that advocate peaceful and gradual political, economic and social reform in the region. A few non-Arab think-tanks are also involved, including the Centre for European Reform, but it is very much led and managed by Arab research centres. The CER is part of ARI because it believes that ARI offers an excellent opportunity to encourage reform in a region that is deeply suspicious of outside influence.
Europe's flawed approach to Arab democracy

Europe's flawed approach to Arab democracy

Richard Youngs
02 October 2006
The European Union's efforts to promote political reform in North Africa and the Middle East are running into the ground. After the September 11th 2001 terrorist attacks in the US, Europe's leaders pledged to promote democracy in the region as a way of tackling the root causes of terrorism.