Research & Press

LBC: How will Russia react to allied strike on Syria

14 April 2018
Ian Bond, director of foreign policy at the Centre for European Reform speaks to LBC about how Russia will react or retaliate to the allied strikes on Syria. 

Custom made

13 April 2018
Financial Times
Samuel Lowe at the Centre for European Reform makes the case for the UK to stay in a customs union with the EU after Brexit. It'll be much better than Turkey's current customs deal, he writes: "Being a in a customs union, and in particular one with the EU, would constrain the UK’s ability to sign new trade agreements. From a macroeconomic perspective, this is of little relevance: even the government’s own analysis find new FTAs will be of small benefit to the UK’s economy, compared to the cost of Brexit."

Is Labour selling the UK a turkey?

13 April 2018
Financial Times
"The EU could use its best endeavour to ensure the UK is party to its future FTAs. While the UK would remain responsible for negotiating its own market access, both the EU and UK negotiators could sit on the same side of the table in some parts of the negotiations," wrote Sam Lowe, from the Centre for European Reform.

Don't be a stranger! EU-UK foreign policy co-operation after Brexit

13 April 2018
E!Sharp
The world feels a dangerous place at present. Relations between the West and Russia are at their most confrontational since the Cold War.

Could Theresa May get away with a customs union climbdown?

12 April 2018
The Telegraph
Sam Lowe, from the Centre for European Reform, has highlighted a number of ways the UK-EU customs union could be markedly better than what Turkey has. For example, there could be a mechanism by which the UK is "substantively consulted" before the EU enters trade talks, which he acknowledges is possible given the "heft" Brussels would get from having Brexit Britain "on its team in future FTA talks".

David Davis wins battle over Brexit negotiations

11 April 2018
The Times
Sam Lowe, from the Centre for European Reform, said Mr Davis’s plan may well fail. “The fact David Davis thinks we can substantively negotiate on the future relationship is slightly odd, as the EU vision and UK’s still seem a long way apart,” he said.

Britain to send 'hundreds' of civil servants to Brussels to hammer out a trade deal by October after Davis wins Whitehall battle with officials

11 April 2018
The Daily Mail
Sam Lowe, from the Centre for European Reform, said Mr Davis's plan may well fail. 'The fact David Davis thinks we can substantively negotiate on the future relationship is slightly odd, as the EU vision and UK's still seem a long way apart,' he told The Times.

CER Bulletin podcast: EU reform; Brexit and foreign policy; Europe and cyber security

11 April 2018
In the CER Bulletin podcast, CER researchers brief podcast listeners on three of the most important topics for Europe this month. 

Theresa's Irish trilemma

11 April 2018
Bright Blue
Theresa May must soon deal with an invidious trilemma. She can only choose two of three options: leaving the single market and customs union, maintaining a border-free Ireland, and pursuing a whole-UK approach to Brexit.

British banks will have to cut ties to sanctioned oligarchs, US says

10 April 2018
The New York Times
British officials have not always been enthusiastic about the American sanctions, but British businesses have tended to comply, largely out of fear of being penalized by the United States, said Ian Bond, director of foreign policy at the Center for European Reform. “The reality is that, for most companies dealing with the United States, the U.S. is much more important than dealing with Russia or Cuba or Iran or Libya,” he said.

A back up plan for Brexit

10 April 2018
Nezavisimaya Gazeta
“In order to get a beneficial deal from the EU, May will have to relax her demands on Brussels, but her party members are an obstacle to this, notes researcher at the Centre for European Reform in London Beth Oppenheim.

The UK and Europe: Brexit, rules of origin and barriers to trade

09 April 2018
E!Sharp
Where is the phone in your hand actually from? Designed in California, assembled in China, it says. But what about the components: the battery, the screen, the processor?

There’s little to lose from exploring sunlit uplands Down Under

06 April 2018
The Times
The long and the short of this negotiation, Sam Lowe of the Centre for European Reform said, is that Australia will function as a test case for the US, making American-style demands with less market power, teasing out what concessions Brexit Britain is willing to make.

India in no 'rush' to sign a post-Brexit trade deal and will tell Britain to accept more migrants

06 April 2018
Business Insider
Writing for Business Insider on Thursday, trade expert Sam Lowe warned that countries will make tricky and in some cases unacceptable demands in free trade deal negotiations with post-Brexit Britain. "When it comes down to it, I wouldn’t be surprised if the most valuable lesson we learn from our first post-Brexit forays into the world is that, when lofty free trade ambition runs up against domestic political reality, the UK is really quite 'European' after all," the Centre for European Reform research fellow wrote.

Brexit Britain looks to Commonwealth 2.0

06 April 2018
EurActiv
“Some of the demands we’ll probably hear about will be on things like agriculture quotas, such as quotas for their orange-sellers,” says Sam Lowe of the Centre for European Reform, of South Africa’s likely demands.

Why Britain's vision for post-Brexit trade deals is probably an illusion

05 April 2018
Business Insider
Is the United Kingdom actually a global bastion of free trade and liberalism? The honest answer is that we just don’t know yet.

'UK ignorance is harming Brexit' - expert demands Brexiteers 'wise up' about EU Parliament

05 April 2018
The Express
Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska, from the Centre for European Reform said: “British ignorance of the EU institutions is harming its own interests. “British ignorance of how they operate is clearly damaging the UK’s chances of success in the negotiations. “The British need to wise up about the EU and its institutions, after all it could make the difference between getting a good deal, a bad deal, or no deal.”

BBC Newsnight: British EU ignorance is harming UK interests - Viewsnight

04 April 2018
In this Viewsnight, Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska of the CER argues that if the British government doesn't pay more attention to the European Parliament, it could get a bad Brexit deal.

UK's tortured approach to EU defence takes new twist

04 April 2018
EurActiv
"The irony is that the EU is getting serious about defence just as the UK is leaving,” says Sophia Besch, a defence expert at the Centre for European Reform. The UK’s partnership paper on defence, which set out the May government’s position on future EU-UK relations, published last autumn, was received “with glee in Brussels because it was so supportive,” Besch told EURACTIV.

Industry planning jobs cull to offset Brexit

31 March 2018
The Guardian
“The government’s problem is that, as it becomes clear that the most we can hope for is a free trade agreement with the EU, more and more businesses reliant on pan-European supply chains will be forced into considering the viability of their UK operations,” said Sam Lowe, from the Centre for European Reform.

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