Research
Britain awaits EU verdict on Brexit delay as deadline looms
23 October 2019
Voice of America
The EU doesn't want to be blamed for a no-deal Brexit, so it will likely eventually agree to an extension, said Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska of the Centre for European Reform policy group."I think the EU should focus on having as constructive a partnership with the U.K. as possible. Now those discussions will not always be easy, but it seems to me that within the EU's mindset, the U.K. has actually already left," she said.
CER podcast: What next for Brexit?
23 October 2019
Charles Grant and Beth Oppenheim discuss what will happen next with the Brexit process, as well as what the future UK-EU relationship could look like.
Getting Brexit deal over finish line would only begin a tortuous new race
23 October 2019
The New York Times
“Under this deal, relative to May’s, the worst case scenario is worse,” said Sam Lowe, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, a research organization.
Rejet de Sylvie Goulard, une manœuvre infondée
22 October 2019
La Croix
Une vingtaine de personnalités européennes demandent au président du Parlement Européen David Sassoli de ne pas entériner le vote des deux commissions qui ont rejeté la candidature de Sylvie Goulard. ...Comprenant Charles Grant, Directeur du Centre for European Reform, Londres, ancien chef du Bureau de The Economist à Bruxelles, trustee du British Council.
The European Commission in EU Defense Industrial Policy
22 October 2019
Carnegie Europe
The European Commission has become more involved in EU defense policy. To see changes implemented, however, it must prove it can help the EU develop into a more capable defense actor.
Britain 'will pay EU billions more' to buy time for new post-Brexit free trade deal
22 October 2019
The Telegraph
Sam Lowe, the trade specialist the Centre for European Reform said that having a trade agreement completed and ready to go by the end of 2020 was “a very tall order”. “Even if Mr Johnson seeks a ‘bare bones’ FTA, there will still need to be complex discussion on level playing field issues, as well as agreements on a plethora of other areas, such as defence co-operation, justice and home affairs, scientific research and a framework agreement to bind them all together.”
IFO Institute: Europas ökonomische Souveränität
21 October 2019
Christian Odendahl, chief economist at the Centre for European Reform spoke a the IFO Institute, Munich about Europe’s economic sovereignty.
Draghi's ECB tenure: Saving the euro, faltering on inflation
21 October 2019
Financial Times
“It is widely agreed that [his] pledge to make the ECB the de facto lender of last resort to governments was the key to arresting the euro crisis,” said Christian Odendahl, chief economist at the Centre for European Reform.
Minister admits: MPs being asked to approve Brexit without knowing full economic damage
21 October 2019
Evening Standard
In the short term, the Centre for European Reform estimates that Britain’s economy is already £69 billion smaller than it would have been if the country had not voted for Brexit.
The UK might be close to a deal, but Brexit wrangling could last for a decade
21 October 2019
CNBC
A London-based think tank, the Centre for European Reform, also noted in a report last week that “the biggest victim of the Brexit vote has been business investment.”
Pound hits $1.30 amid Brexit deal and trade war hopes - as it happened
21 October 2019
The Guardian
"A while ago I wrote a paper in which I estimated the potential impact being in a free trade agreement (much like the one Johnson wants) would have on UK services exports to the EU." As you can see, the work (by trade expert Sam Lowe of the Centre for European Reform) suggests a free trade deal would cause severe damage to some UK service sector exports -- particularly the City...
Can next Bank boss avoid negative interest rates?
20 October 2019
The Sunday Times
Brexit has had a negative short-term effect on the economy, of course, estimated to be 2.5%-3% of GDP (growth being slower than otherwise), according to the Centre for European Reform.
Gulf between the EU's rich and poor continues to widen despite economic recovery
18 October 2019
El Pais
According to an article from the independent think-tank, Centre for European Reform, the most productive regions are no longer those that are highly industrialized. Being located close to a thriving city or one with a high percentage of young professional workers is also a significant factor.
European Union's message to UK: Just leave already
18 October 2019
The New York Times
“The EU showed a lot of patience,” said Agata Gostynska-Jakubowska, a Brussels-based analyst with the Centre for European Reform. “It’s very rare that hours before the European Council starts, that individual states don’t even have a legal text. The deadline set for midnight Tuesday was supposed to be absolute, but the parties wanted to deliver on this. The objective is to move on.”
Sky News: Brexit countdown
18 October 2019
Sam Lowe, a senior research fellow from the Centre for European Reform spoke to Adam Boulton today about what the Brexit deal means for the UK's trade with the rest of the world (from 11.13 GMT).
Channel 4 News: Brexit deal - trade barriers
18 October 2019
Sam Lowe, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, told Channel 4 News,"Brexit never ends, you just move onto the next stage".
No 10's concessions in race to break Brexit deadlock
17 October 2019
Financial Times
“It has been written in a specific way to appeal to British viewers, but the default position is Northern Ireland is treated as if it is in the EU customs union,” said Sam Lowe of the Centre for European Reform.
A Brexit deal in hand, Boris Johnson faces an uphill struggle in parliament
17 October 2019
The New York Times
But nobody really knows how things will pan out. “We have one step forward, in that we’re talking about something substantive,” said Sam Lowe, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, a research group in London. “But we still really have no idea where this is all going to land.”
This deal doesn't get Brexit done – it's just the end of the beginning
17 October 2019
The Telegraph
Some countries like Australia and New Zealand are, meanwhile, negotiating their own trade agreements with the EU, complicating a future trade deal with the UK. “It’s not in Australia or New Zealand’s interest to annoy the European Commission,” says Sam Lowe of the Centre for European Reform.
Turkey's Syria incursion: Can Ankara force NATO to provide assistance?
17 October 2019
Euro News
Luigi Scazzieri, a research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, concurred: "Turkey could trigger Article 5 but it would hardly be credible unless Turkish territory was attacked by Russia or Syria," he told Euronews by e-mail."Other member states would probably be unwilling to provide assistance, unless Turkey came under sustained attack, given that Ankara started this bout of fighting," he added.