Press

No 10's concessions in race to break Brexit deadlock

17 October 2019
Financial Times
“It has been written in a specific way to appeal to British viewers, but the default position is Northern Ireland is treated as if it is in the EU customs union,” said Sam Lowe of the Centre for European Reform.

BBC RADIO 4- TODAY PROGRAMME: What does the Brexit deal mean in practise

17 October 2019
Sam Lowe a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform spoke to the Today programme this morning about what the current Brexit deal means in practise (from 06.15).

A Brexit deal in hand, Boris Johnson faces an uphill struggle in parliament

17 October 2019
The New York Times
But nobody really knows how things will pan out. “We have one step forward, in that we’re talking about something substantive,” said Sam Lowe, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, a research group in London. “But we still really have no idea where this is all going to land.”

BBC News: The next phase of Brexit

17 October 2019
“The EU will want to make sure the level playing field is a stringent one and probably more stringent than with any third country that the EU has been negotiating with” Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform told BBC News.

This deal doesn't get Brexit done – it's just the end of the beginning

17 October 2019
The Telegraph
Some countries like Australia and New Zealand are, meanwhile, negotiating their own trade agreements with the EU, complicating a future trade deal with the UK. “It’s not in Australia or New Zealand’s interest to annoy the European Commission,” says Sam Lowe of the Centre for European Reform.

BBC Radio 5 Live: Brexit deal?

17 October 2019
“There’s this idea that we’re coming towards the end of Brexit...even if this deal goes through we’re just moving to phase three...Brexit is a process not an event” (from 10.51) Sam Lowe, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform told  BBC 5 Live.

Turkey's Syria incursion: Can Ankara force NATO to provide assistance?

17 October 2019
Euro News
Luigi Scazzieri, a research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, concurred: "Turkey could trigger Article 5 but it would hardly be credible unless Turkish territory was attacked by Russia or Syria," he told Euronews by e-mail."Other member states would probably be unwilling to provide assistance, unless Turkey came under sustained attack, given that Ankara started this bout of fighting," he added.

Tok FM: Gostyńska: Brexitowej sagi ciąg dalszy nastąpi

17 October 2019
Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform talks to TOK FM about the ongoing Brexit talks.

EU risks trade fight over carbon border tax plans

16 October 2019
Financial Times
Sam Lowe, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, said the EU “should make it as easy as possible for [importing] companies to seek relief based on proof of actual greenhouse gas emissions”.

UK's economy is £69bn smaller because of Brexit turmoil, says leading think tank

16 October 2019
Evening Standard
Britain's economy is a startling £69 billion smaller than it would have been if the country had not voted for Brexit, according to a leading think tank.The Centre for European Reform said the turmoil and uncertainty triggered by the 2016 vote to quit the EU means the economy is 2.9 per cent smaller than it would have been otherwise. “We have seen a substantial loss of output as a result of slower growth, and the hit to investment is storing up trouble for the future,” said John Springford, deputy director of the CER and author of the analysis.

Brexit deal on a knife-edge as Boris Johnson scrambles to find agreement with DUP

16 October 2019
The Mirror
Brexit has cost almost £70billion since the 2016 referendum thanks to the economy being 2.9% smaller than if the UK voted Remain, according to the Centre for European Reform.

Greta Thunberg accuses rich countries of "creative carbon accounting"

16 October 2019
The Economist
Trade deals could be used to encourage exporting countries to cut emissions, says Sam Lowe of the Centre for European Reform, a think-tank in London. The EU is considering a “carbon border adjustment”— higher tariffs on goods from countries that do not meet the EU’s environmental standards. 

BBC News: Brexit deal deadline

15 October 2019
"It looks like both sides are willing to strike a Brexit agreement and that in itself is good news – but talk of the town in Brussels is that it's likely there will need to be yet another Council summit on Brexit", Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska, a senior research fellow a the Centre for European Reform tells BBC News.

Getting Brexit done? It’s already cost UK economy almost £70bn, new report says

15 October 2019
The Independent
Brexit has already cost the UK economy almost £70bn – the equivalent of £440m a week or £840 for every household in the country each year – according to a new report from the Centre for European Reform.

Law and Justice party set for victory in Polish election

14 October 2019
Financial Times
Agata Gostynska-Jakubowska, from the Centre for European Reform, said that such policies could lead to further clashes between Warsaw and Brussels. However, she said she did not expect a big confrontation before Poland holds presidential elections next spring. “I think there could be clashes here and there . . . but I don’t think that Law and Justice will want to have a fundamental row with the EU, at least in the first year in power, as immediately after the parliamentary elections, they will start gearing up for presidential elections, where they will want to appeal to moderate voters,” she said.

Prayer is Brexit strategy as services brace for red tape storm

14 October 2019
Bloomberg
“A lot of British companies selling into Europe or across Europe are going to be breaking the law without realizing it,” said Samuel Lowe, a researcher at the Centre for European Reform.

Election results give hope to opposition in Poland and Hungary

14 October 2019
The Guardian
“It looks like this may be a small step in the right direction – but it’s clear the opposition still has an awful lot of work to do,” said Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform.

Backstop compromise is still on, but trade issue could yet derail Brexit agreement

14 October 2019
The Telegraph
But Sam Lowe, a trade policy expert with the Centre for European Reform, said that the risk posed to the EU by such a scheme, when applied to Northern Ireland, would be “much smaller” when applied to Northern Ireland than UK-wide.“In practice, with a few exceptions, the day-to-day life for people living under a dual-tariff regime would for most just look and feel as if Northern Ireland were in a customs union with the EU,” he added.

EU showdown: Poland's ruling party election victory could reignite judicial row with EU

13 October 2019
The Express
The party also wants to continue with its judicial overhaul, which sparked concern with Agata Gostynska-Jakubowska from the Centre for European Reform. She said that this could lead to further clashes between Warsaw and Brussels. But she added she did not expect a big clash before Poland holds presidential elections next spring.She said: “I think there could be clashes here and there . . . but I don’t think that Law and Justice will want to have a fundamental row with the EU, at least in the first year in power, as immediately after the parliamentary elections, they will start gearing up for presidential elections, where they will want to appeal to moderate voters.”

Commission takes Poland to court on eve of election

11 October 2019
EU Observer
"If PiS wins a parliamentary majority in both houses of parliament, it would probably attempt to further undermine democratic checks and balances. For example, PiS wants to make it easier for the government to lift the immunity of judges," Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, wrote in a recent analysis.