Press

The Barnier method: Lessons learned from the EU’s institutional approach to the Brexit negotiations

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska, Nicolai von Ondarza
17 June 2020
European Policy Centre
The UK’s vote on 23 June 2016 to leave the EU sent shockwaves throughout the EU member-states.

Europe's longtime powers unite behind EU's COVID-19 rescue package

17 June 2020
Voice of America
John Springford, deputy director for the London-based Centre for European Reform policy institute, is similarly skeptical. “There’s a realization she’s nearing the end of her term and wants to have been a chancellor that has made Europe stronger,” Springford said of Merkel.

CER podcast: Can the EU and the UK strike a deal on their future relationship?

17 June 2020
Following Monday’s meeting between Boris Johnson and the three Presidents of the EU, has a deal between the EU and UK become more or less likely? Charles Grant and Sam Lowe discuss.

Europe must stand up to China before it’s too late

16 June 2020
Foreign Policy
Europe’s prosperity depends on an orderly system that ensures the global flow of goods, services, capital, and – however much populists object – labor. But 2020 is turning out to be a very bad year for the rules-based international order.

Europe must abandon muddled thinking about China

16 June 2020
Nikkei Asia Review
Up to 2018, Beijing claimed it had created 327,000 jobs, a number challenged by analysts. "A lot involves buying existing European companies," says Ian Bond of think tank the Centre for European Reform. "As far as one can tell, such investment may ensure that jobs are not lost, but it rarely seems to create much new employment."

The slow, rocky road to a modest EU-UK deal

16 June 2020
Financial Times
Sam Lowe of the Centre for European Reform think-tank puts it succinctly: “A free trade agreement does not negate the fact that the UK will be moving from a highly integrated relationship with the EU to one in which trading between the two becomes significantly more difficult.”

Key win secured by UK even before Boris Johnson's showdown with EU chiefs

15 June 2020
Express
Sam Lowe, a trade expert at the Centre for European Reform think-tank, last week told MPs: “If – and this is a big if – the headline issues can be resolved, then actually the differences between the UK and EU are fairly minor when it comes to the substance of the free-trade agreement and can probably be resolved.”

Post-Brexit: Johnson will Brüssel drohen

15 June 2020
Deutsche Welle
Es gebe (noch) keinen Grund zur Panik, sagt der britische Handelsexperte Sam Lowe vom Thinktank "Centre for European Reform". Trotz der gegenwärtigen Feindseligkeiten gebe es noch einen Weg hin zu einem Abkommen, das für beide Seiten akzeptabel ist. Aber dafür müssten sie sich in den zentralen Punkten aufeinander zubewegen.

Key Brexit meeting concludes ‘more momentum’ needed to break deadlock

15 June 2020
The Parliament Magazine
Sam Lowe, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, said, “A deal between the EU and UK remains possible. But neither side is likely to compromise on its current negotiating position until later in the year, when the cost of failure will become significantly more tangible.”

Brexit: Boris Johnson and Ursula von der Leyen to hold 'high level' talks

15 June 2020
Euronews
"The best-case scenario would see the pair agree in general terms on a landing zone for the future relationship, giving the negotiations fresh impetus. The worst case would see Johnson collapse the talks in an attempt to distract from domestic criticism over his government's handling of COVID-19," Sam Lowe, senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform think tank, said on Friday.

Trade triangle: US, Britain, and European Union

14 June 2020
Politico
Sam Lowe, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, also argued British attempts to game the EU on standards won’t work. He pointed out that Britain has little to threaten the bloc with, having already accepted new barriers to trade with Brussels."This could have been much more of an issue if the UK was trying to get a much deeper relationship with the European Union than it currently has, in that there would be a much bigger discussion about trade-offs and avoiding costs," he explained.

Inforadio: Senkung der Mehrwertsteuer kann Konsum-Motor sein

12 June 2020
Das Bundeskabinett hat bis zum Jahresende die Absenkung der Mehrwertsteuer beschlossen. Ökonom Christian Odendahl vom Centre for European Reform in London begrüßt den Entschluss, da alle Bürgerinnen in etwa gleich davon profitieren.

Brexit: Boris Johnson and Ursula von der Leyen to hold 'high level' talks next week

12 June 2020
Euronews
"The best-case scenario would see the pair agree in general terms on a landing zone for the future relationship, giving the negotiations fresh impetus. The worst case would see Johnson collapse the talks in an attempt to distract from domestic criticism over his government's handling of COVID-19," Sam Lowe, senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform thinktank, said on Friday.

Britain unveils plans to impose EU border checks in stages

11 June 2020
Reuters
Sam Lowe, senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, said Britain could face chaos if it did not get it right. “COVID-19 has also made things worse ... and government just hasn’t had the time to fully prepare itself for a full fat border,” he said.

UK in U-turn on full post-Brexit border controls

11 June 2020
Financial Times
Sam Lowe, a trade expert with the Centre for European Reform think-tank, warned that it was unlikely that the EU — which has already invested heavily in new port infrastructure and personnel in Calais and Rotterdam — would reciprocate fully.“The most we can hope for the EU is what they agreed last time, in terms of no-deal mitigations, but I wouldn’t expect them to waive animal health and plant product checks, for example,” he added.

Brexit trapdoor exposed: How rushed deal with EU could derail UK plans

10 June 2020
Express
Charles Grant from the Centre for European Reform said: “I think the best possible outcome the British Government can hope for in negotiations with the EU is the sort of bare-bones free trade agreement by the end of the year. “Covering trade and goods, zero tariffs and zero quotas.”

Parliament Live: Future relationship with the European Union Committee

10 June 2020
Sam Lowe, Senior Research Fellow at the Centre for European Reform along with Professor Catherine Barnard, Professor of EU law and Employment Law, University of Cambridge and Dr Anna Jerzewska, PhD, Independent Customs and Trade Consultant UN International Trade Centre gave evidence on the progress of the negotiations on the UK’s future relationship with the EU. 

Last minute Brexit trade deal likely - but fireworks will come first - experts tell MPs

10 June 2020
The Telegraph
Trade expert Sam Lowe told the Brexit Committee this decision would not be taken by Michel Barnier and David Frost, saying he expected Boris Johnson and the leaders of the EU27 to intervene. But while he said he thought the EU would shift on state aid, there were no signs of backing down on fisheries. 
 
The Centre for European Reform estimated there was a 70 per cent chance of a deal, saying he was "on the optimistic side of things... although I expect there to be fireworks in the coming months". 
 

Parliament Live: International Trade Committee

10 June 2020
Sam Lowe, Senior Researcher, Centre for European Reform along with Professor David Collins, Professor of International Economic Law, City University and Hosuk Lee-Makiyama, Director, European Centre of International Political Economy (ECIPE) gave evidence on the UK trade negotiations.

Brexit: UK borders still not ready for leaving single market at end of year, MPs told

10 June 2020
The Independent
Sam Lowe, a senior fellow and trade expert at the Centre for European Reform told the same hearing of the Commons EU future relationship committee that many things needed to be sorted irrespective of whether the government managed to get a deal with the EU or not. "From a preparedness point of view, due to the nature of the future relationship that is on the table, most of these questions apply whether there is a free trade agreement or not," he said.