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Deutschland hat durch die stark steigenden Industrieexporte Chinas weltweit am meisten zu verlieren. Zu diesem Schluss kommt eine neue Studie der britischen proeuropäischen Denkfabrik Centre for European Reform. Darin werden vor allem zwei Herausforderungen genannt, die aus Sicht Deutschlands ein Umdenken erfordern: Zum einen die Wettbewerbsstärke Chinas in Industriezweigen, in denen die heimische Wirtschaft bislang führend war, wie der Autoindustrie.

“I think there is absolutely no indication that at the moment Putin is interested in negotiations at all,” said Ian Bond, deputy director of the Centre for European Reform think-tank. “You know, Putin thinks he's winning.”

Trump has threatened to impose high tariffs on Chinese goods, with many predicting that a large portion will be diverted to Europe, which remains relatively open to many Chinese goods.All of this comes ahead of a German federal election in February, which is “haunted by the spectre of deindustrialisation”, wrote analysts in a joint paper from the Centre for European Reform, and the Council on ForeignRelations this week.

A report released today concludes the two are connected, as China is increasingly replacing German imports with goods produced by its own automotive, clean technology and aviation industries, which are also taking over other markets in South America and Asia.  “China’s pivot to aggressive export-led growth is undercutting German manufacturing,” says Sander Tordoir of the Centre for European Reform, who co-authored the report with Brad Setser of the Council on Foreign Relations.

Charles Grant, the director of the influential Centre for European Reform think-tank added that the appointment [of Michael Ellam] “should go down well in Brussels."

 A study, published by the Centre for European Reform (CER) think-tank, on December 3, highlights that many countries may require additional support from the EU to upgrade their heavy industries for a net-zero future.

Jessop then takes aim at the work of several people including John Springford of the Centre for European Reform, who created a “doppelganger” of a UK economy to which Brexit never happened. This ‘shadow economy’, built through sophisticated modelling, reacts just as the UK has done in the past so we can see how the UK has performed in comparison with the model since Brexit. Springford’s model assesses the hit of Brexit as being 5%.