Brexit : un an après, le lent effritement de l’économie britannique

31 December 2021
Le Monde
 Pour contourner la difficulté, John Springford, du groupe de réflexion Centre for European Reform, a comparé l’évolution du commerce d’un groupe de 22 pays avec celle du Royaume-Uni. Jusqu’à fin 2020, elles étaient corrélées. Mais depuis le 1er janvier 2021, l’écart se creuse : le commerce britannique a perdu entre 11 % et 16 % par rapport à l’échantillon comparatif.

The never-ending Brexit the true and mounting costs of leaving the EU

30 December 2021
Foreign Affairs
According to a study conducted by John Springford, an economics researcher at the Centre for European Reform, British goods trade in September 2021 was 11.2 percent, or 8.5 billion pounds, lower than it would have been had the United Kingdom stayed in the EU’s single market and customs union.

What a year of Brexit brought UK companies: Higher costs and endless forms

29 December 2021
The New York Times
Goods trade with Europe was nearly 16 percent below what it would have been in a world without Brexit, according to the latest report by the Centre for European Reform.

Die nicht endenden Brexit-Probleme der Briten

28 December 2021
Der Tagesspiegel
Die Denkfabrik Centre for European Reform hat errechnet, dass der britische Warenhandel im Oktober 2021 um 15,7 Prozent oder 12,6 Milliarden Pfund (knapp 15 Mrd Euro) niedriger war als er im Falle eines britischen Verbleibs im EU-Binnenmarkt und in der Zollunion gewesen wäre.

Johnson’s pig-headed reign approaches its tragicomic climax

26 December 2021
The Guardian
We owe it to that great student of all things European, my old friend Charles Grant, to discover that all is not what it seems with the Rt Hon Truss. Grant has known her a long time. In an article for the Centre for European Reform think-tank, of which he is director, he reveals that, before converting to the Remain cause for Cameron’s referendum, Truss was a Eurosceptic. 

Why no one should underestimate Liz Truss

26 December 2021
The Evening Standard
“As someone who doesn’t hide her ambition to be the next Conservative leader, she will want to appear tough in dealing with the EU, in order to secure the support of the party’s right,” wrote Charles Grant, Director at the Centre for European Reform think-tank.

Brexit one year on: So how's it going?

25 December 2021
The Guardian
Asked how Brexit has gone so far, Charles Grant, director of the think-tank the Centre for European Reform, says that, ironically, the most obvious post-Brexit negotiating successes for the Johnson government have been in areas where it has managed to stay close to the EU, not move away – such as the “rolling over” of EU trade deals.

One year on, it’s clear that Brexit has failed on its advocates’ own terms

25 December 2021
The Independent
Now that the Brexit deal has been in force for a year, it’s worth looking at initial claims from the politicians who forced through an exit from the EU’s single market.

Brexit one year on: How has Britain fared outside the EU?

24 December 2021
The Times
The Centre for European Reform has attempted to isolate the impact of Brexit by looking at Covid-affected trade flows in other countries and then comparing them with those seen by Britain.That analysis concluded that, since the transition period ended, leaving the single market and customs union had reduced UK goods trade with the EU by 15.8 per cent as of August 2021.

Brexit one year on: The impact on the UK economy

23 December 2021
The Financial Times
John Springford, deputy director of the Centre for European Reform think-tank, estimated the likely UK trade performance based on a model, “doppelgänger UK”, derived from the performance of similar countries.

CER end of year podcast: Review of 2021

Charles Grant, John Springford, Ian Bond, Christian Odendahl, Camino Mortera-Martinez, Luigi Scazzieri, Elisabetta Cornago, Zach Meyers, Megan Ferrando
22 December 2021
As 2021 draws to a close, the CER researchers reflect on the events of the past year.

Just a year of Brexit has thumped UK's economy and businesses

22 December 2021
As of October, UK goods trade with the EU was 15.7% lower than it would have been had Britain stayed in the EU’s single market and customs union, according to modeling by the Centre for European Reform, an independent think-tank. That tallies with a UK government analysis of 2018, which predicted a 10% decline in trade.

Brexit: The economic impact a year on

21 December 2021
BBC News
Economic modellers at the Centre for European Reform ... compare the UK as it is with a doppelgänger UK, following the attributes of EU economies that were most similar before Brexit and before Covid.
Isolating the Brexit effect suggests a drop of 11 to 16% in the amount of UK trade, which in October came to 15.7% on imports and exports, worth £12.6bn.

Frosty resignation Leaves Boris Johnson with Brexit meltdown

20 December 2021
The Washington Post
To try to isolate Brexit effects, John Springford, deputy director of the Centre for European Reform, created a nifty algorithm that used pre-pandemic data on GDP, goods trade, population, industrial production and other factors to create a “doppelganger” UK that closely tracked the real UK. His model finds that goods trade was between 11% and 16% lower in October as a result of the UK leaving the single market in January 2021 — a cost of 12.6 billion pounds ($16.7 billion).

Lord Frost's resignation exposes threat Boris Johnson faces from Tory right

19 December 2021
Financial Times
Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform, tweeted: “When I was in Brussels two weeks ago, meeting EU & govt officials, I was told that [Frost] was personally responsible for the dire state of EU-UK relations.”

Intervjuu⟩ Energeetikaekspert: uut hinnahüpet võime näha juba järgmisel talvel

17 December 2021
Postimees [Estonia]
Venemaa teeb Euroopa energeetikareformide pärast kära, sest näeb, et see on nende gaasist sõltumise lõpu algus, ütleb Elisabetta Cornago mõttekojast Centre for European Reform.

Leaders expected to shy away from discussion of specific sanctions

Christian Odendahl
16 December 2021
Financial Times
“Policy-makers should continue to be relaxed about inflation and not take the eye off the recovery ball,” said Christian Odendahl, chief economist at the Centre for European Reform. “The real risks from high energy prices are weakness in consumption and a potentially weaker economy in 2022 and 2023, not inflation.” 

Firms brace for extra Brexit red tape amid supply lines squeeze

16 December 2021
In October, UK trade in goods was 12.6 billion pounds ($16.7 billion) less than it would have been had Britain stayed in the EU, according to research by the Centre for European Reform, a think-tank.

No sign UK Government cares one whit on Brexit woe

15 December 2021
The Herald Scotland
The Centre for European Reform think-tank estimated on Monday that, in October, UK goods trade was 15.7 per cent, or £12.6 billion, lower than it would have been if the country had stayed in the European single market and customs union.

Relations review

14 December 2021
Ian Bond, director of foreign policy at the Centre for European Reform think-tank, said the UK will keep a watchful eye on whether France tries to block reforms to NATO that London considers a priority, such as standing up to China in the Indo-Pacific, boosting cyber security capabilities and investing more on defense R&D.