After thumping victory, Boris Johnson focuses on swift Brexit, boost to public spending

13 December 2019
The Wall Street Journal
Breaking with the EU may slow Britain’s economic growth in coming years, said Sam Lowe, a researcher at the Centre for European Reform, a London think tank. “But with the majority he has he can probably afford some economic pain,” he said, while adding that a hit to the economy would make it harder to for Mr. Johnson to satisfy his new cohort of working-class supporters.

Path to a softer Brexit? UK PM's win gives him leeway

13 December 2019
France 24
"With a big majority, Boris Johnson can ignore ERG and go for a softer Brexit if he wishes," noted Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform (CER) think tank.

WTO's uncertain future: Invasion of the appellate body snatchers

12 December 2019
The Finacial Times
As the redoubtable Sam “Big Sam” Lowe of the Centre for European Reform points out, an EU-UK bilateral negotiated by end-2020 won’t look much different for most companies than a no-deal Brexit. Trade Secrets is 1-0 up, and the game’s into self-inflicted injury time.

UK heads towards Brexit as Johnson on course for decisive win

12 December 2019
“With a big majority BJ can ignore ERG and go for a softer Brexit if he wishes,” said Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform.

'Low-hanging fruit' and the politics of perception: Five takeaways from the Paris summit on the war in Ukraine

10 December 2019
Radio Free Europe Radio Liberty
These agreements are "largely low-hanging fruits strategically," Khrystyna Parandii, a fellow at the London-based Centre for European Reform, said in a tweet. ...But she added that they have "important humanitarian implications" - something Zelenskiy had stressed in comments before the talks on a war that has killed more than 13,000 people, displaced millions, and left many remaining residents of the war-torn areas living in dire conditions.

Bullets have been flying in world trade, but as of today there’s no sheriff in town

10 December 2019
Financial Post
Sam Lowe, a trade expert at the Centre for European Reform, adds: “The U.S. is no longer the benevolent hegemon of the rules-based system, it is now actively trying to disrupt it and return to a period when all that mattered was size.”

Johnson vow to implement Brexit deal by December 2020 in doubt

09 December 2019
The Financial Times
Sam Lowe, a trade expert at the Centre for European Reform, said: “We are talking about a big bureaucratic exercise here.” He said something similar to the transition period would have to continue while new systems were put in place.“While it may be possible to have inked a free trade agreement by the end of the year, you would still have to implement it,” he said. “That would require an extension of the status quo, otherwise there would be chaos.”

Pressure from Macron and Merkel on Russia is crucial to ending the war in eastern Ukraine

09 December 2019
The Independent
Five years after Russia and its proxies invaded eastern Ukraine, a fresh peace initiative is raising hopes of a solution to the Donbass conflict that has claimed 13,000 lives and left more than 30,000 injured.

What the death of WTO's 'Supreme Court for global trade' means for the UK and beyond

08 December 2019
The Telegraph
Sam Lowe, a trade expert at the Centre for European Reform, adds: “The US is no longer the benevolent hegemon of the rules-based system – it's now actively trying to disrupt it and return to a period when all that mattered was size.”

Face of the next phase

07 December 2019
The Week
Her [von der Leyen] green deal for making the continent carbon neutral by 2050 is contested, her aim to fast-track foreign policy decisions by dropping consensus is unrealistic and her desire for more capital-markets integration is controversial. Predicts EU expert Agata Gostynska-Jakubowska: “Her biggest challenge will be to show she can be assertive vis-a-vis the member-states.”

Der lange Weg zum Frieden in der Ostukraine

07 December 2019
Wiener Zeitung
Sie sollten allerdings darauf bestehen, dass die Wiederherstellung der "Souveränität und territorialen Integrität der Ukraine" ein Ziel bleibe, schreibt Khrystyna Parandii in einer Analyse für die Denkfabrik CER (Centre for European Reform), die ihren Hauptsitz in London hat. Sie argumentiert, dass das beste Ergebnis der Zusammenkunft in Paris wäre, wenn sich die Parteien auf einen umfassenden Vertrag einigen könnten, der auf dem Minsker Abkommen basiert und zentrale Fragen wie die Entwaffnung paramilitärischer Gruppen regeln würde.

Can a comprehensive Brexit deal be done by the end of 2020?

06 December 2019
The Guardian
Sam Lowe, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, is one who believes it is possible. “The single biggest underpriced thing in this whole debate about Brexit is that Johnson and the EU might actually get a trade deal done by 31 December 2020,” he said. “It’s not that I am pushing this as a likelihood, I just think it’s possible and it could catch people off-guard.”

“Get Brexit done”? It’s not as simple as Boris Johnson claims

05 December 2019
The Economist
Yet Sam Lowe of the Centre for European Reform, another think-tank, says the sole practical option in such a short time would be a bare-bones deal that covered goods trade alone. Such a deal might avoid the need for parliamentary ratification. But it would do nothing for services, which make up 80% of Britain’s economy and half its trade. It would not cover security, data and much else.

Can Europe overcome its paralysis on Palestine?

05 December 2019
When Federica Mogherini took office as the EU’s high representative for foreign policy in November 2014, she declared that a two-state solution could be reached within her five-year term.

CER podcast: Where is Turkey going?

04 December 2019
After Turkey’s recent offensive in northern Syria, Ankara’s relationships with the EU and US have been badly strained.

Nato at 70: Not 'brain dead', but needs shot in arm

03 December 2019
EU Observer
What a difference a decade makes. Nato's 60th birthday celebration in 2009 was a show of confidence, sprinkled with the stardust of Barack Obama's first official visit to Europe and culminating in a 62-paragraph declaration covering everything from the Arctic to Africa.

It's Trump time

03 December 2019
Financial Times
With Emmanuel Macron’s caustic comments likely to dominate the Nato gathering, Ian Bond at the Centre for European Reform argues that reports of the Nato’s “brain death” are still exaggerated: “Even if Nato can get through the London meeting unscathed, its leaders should not just breathe a sigh of relief and hope that Trump will be out of office by the time of the next summit (expected in 2021). In reality, Trump, Erdogan and Macron all have some valid criticisms of Nato. The solutions they pursue are likely to do more harm than good to security in Europe; but the correct course is to look for better solutions, not to ignore the problems.”

Komisja von der Leyen nie do końca legalna? Co o tym mówi prawo unijne?

03 December 2019
Gazeta Prawna
Rzeczywiście, służby prawne instytucji europejskich wskazywały na obawę, że decyzje podjęte przez kolegium, które nie odzwierciedla liczby państw członkowskich, mogą zostać zakwestionowane prawnie. Komisja Europejska rozpoczęła jednak procedurę naruszeniową wobec Wielkiej Brytanii – mówi z kolei Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska z think tanku Centre for European Reform. W ten sposób w jej ocenie nowa KE wyszła naprzeciw wyzwaniom prawnym związanym z decyzją Brytyjczyków o nienominowaniu komisarza.

Global Business: Ambitious agenda for new Commission

03 December 2019
The new Commission comes to office with an ambitious agenda, from climate change to digitization & curbing the power of tech companies.

Europa y la "política de favores" de Trump

03 December 2019
Deutsche Welle
Ian Bond, director de política exterior del Centro para la Reforma Europea, fue un diplomático británico que en el pasado trabajó en Washington. Bond dice que en circunstancias normales, todos los que tratan con Estados Unidos sobre el caso de Ucrania sabrían quiénes eran sus interlocutores en la embajada, el Departamento de Estado y el Consejo de Seguridad Nacional. Nadie habría buscado al abogado personal del presidente o al embajador de Estados Unidos en la Unión Europea.