Britain & the EU
The ideologues within
19 May 2016
Brexit will be a vote for less openness to trade, people and foreign culture, and a victory for ‘common sense’ and gut feeling over evidence.
The seven blunders: Why Brexit would be harder than Brexiters think
28 April 2016
If Britain decides to leave the EU it will have to invoke article 50 TEU that puts the departing member-state at a disadvantage in the withdrawal negotiations.
The US, Britain and the EU: Who cares?
21 April 2016
When Obama speaks out against Brexit, he will be protecting America’s interests. That does not mean that he is wrong.
The economic consequences of leaving the EU: The final report of the CER commission on Brexit 2016
21 April 2016
After leaving the EU, the UK would face an invidious choice: sign up to EU rules and the free movement of labour, or suffer economic damage.
Cameron's deal is more than it seems
23 March 2016
Cameron's deal on EU reform is more significant than many commentators realise. It points the way to a looser, more differentiated Union.
Would an 'independent' Britain want to join the single market?
24 February 2016
Three economic rules mean that Britain would seek to join the EU's single market if it were not already a member.
Deal done: Now for the hard work
20 February 2016
David Cameron did better than expected at last night's EU summit. But the deal will sway few voters, and Cameron must now make the case for the EU.
Cameron's EU deal is far from fixed
08 February 2016
In the run-up to the European Council on February 18th and 19th David Cameron is fighting to improve his deal on EU reform. Others are resisting.
Brexit and EU regulation: A bonfire of the vanities?
03 February 2016
EU rules are no straitjacket for the British economy, and repealing them would be damaging: divergent regulations between the EU and the UK would curb trade and investment.
Bulletin Issue 106 - February/March 2016
22 January 2016
- Poland: Europe's new enfant terrible?, Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska
- Can the eurozone shake off the global gloom?, Simon Tilford
- The Brexit equation: EU minus UK = ? , Ian Bond
If the UK votes to leave: The seven alternatives to EU membership
12 January 2016
Post-Brexit, if Britain wants access to the single market, it must accept EU rules and free movement, and pay into its budget.
The continental view of Cameron's renegotiation
16 December 2015
David Cameron’s insistence on excluding migrants from in-work benefits means that he cannot strike a deal on EU reform at this week’s summit.
Cameron's EU reforms: Will Europe buy them?
14 December 2015
At the European Council on 17 December David Cameron's reform proposals will get a mixed reception. Which ideas will get most backing, and from whom?
Britain, immigration and Brexit
30 November 2015
If the UK quits the EU, it will be because British politicians have pandered to anti-immigrant sentiment rather than addressing the supply-side failures that drive it.
Bulletin Issue 105 - December 2015/January 2016
30 November 2015
- Britain, immigration and Brexit, Simon Tilford
- Adrift: The impact of the ECJ's Safe Harbour ruling, Camino Mortera-Martinez, Rem Korteweg
- Millstone or multiplier? EU foreign policy, Ian Bond
Adrift: The impact of the ECJ's Safe Harbour ruling
30 November 2015
The Court's decision to invalidate a transatlantic agreement on data flows could fragment the internet, harm Europe's digital single market and threaten the EU's geopolitical interests.
China's European charm offensive: Silk Road or Silk Rope?
27 November 2015
China is building closer relations with European countries, offering investments to all. EU member-states should welcome China’s contribution, without abandoning European values and interests.
In-work benefits for EU migrants: How the British government dug itself into a hole
10 November 2015
The UK could make both Britons and EU migrants wait four years before having access to in-work benefits, but the ECJ might still rule it illegal.
Changing the guard in Poland but not much change for Cameron?
28 October 2015
Poland’s new government may share Cameron’s euroscepticism, but it will not support all his reform ideas – especially if they discriminate against Poles.
Cameron's EU gamble: Five reforms he can win, and ten pitfalls he must avoid
23 October 2015
Cameron's package of EU reforms will not be exciting. He could lose the referendum, because of the EU's many problems and the weakness of Britain's pro-Europeans.