British exit from the EU?

Cameron's security gamble: Is Brexit a strategic risk?

21 December 2015
Britain has shown its international ambitions with airstrikes in Syria and an important defence and security review. But the referendum on EU membership threatens Britain's interests.

The continental view of Cameron's renegotiation

16 December 2015
David Cameron’s insistence on excluding migrants from in-work benefits means that he cannot strike a deal on EU reform at this week’s summit.
Cameron's EU reforms: Will Europe buy them?

Cameron's EU reforms: Will Europe buy them?

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska
14 December 2015
At the European Council on 17 December David Cameron's reform proposals will get a mixed reception. Which ideas will get most backing, and from whom?
Adrift: The impact of the ECJ’s Safe Harbour ruling

Adrift: The impact of the ECJ's Safe Harbour ruling

Camino Mortera-Martinez, Rem Korteweg
30 November 2015
The Court's decision to invalidate a transatlantic agreement on data flows could fragment the internet, harm Europe's digital single market and threaten the EU's geopolitical interests.

Britain, immigration and Brexit

Simon Tilford
30 November 2015
If the UK quits the EU, it will be because British politicians have pandered to anti-immigrant sentiment rather than addressing the supply-side failures that drive it.
Bulletin Issue 105 - December 2015/January 2016

Bulletin Issue 105 - December 2015/January 2016

Simon Tilford, Camino Mortera-Martinez, Rem Korteweg, Ian Bond
30 November 2015
In-work benefits

In-work benefits for EU migrants: How the British government dug itself into a hole

10 November 2015
The UK could make both Britons and EU migrants wait four years before having access to in-work benefits, but the ECJ might still rule it illegal.
Cameron's EU gamble: Five reforms he can win, and ten pitfalls he must avoid

Cameron's EU gamble: Five reforms he can win, and ten pitfalls he must avoid

23 October 2015
Cameron's package of EU reforms will not be exciting. He could lose the referendum, because of the EU's many problems and the weakness of Britain's pro-Europeans.
Power to the parliaments! But will Cameron's EU partners join his crusade?

Power to the parliaments! But will Cameron's EU partners join his crusade?

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska
16 October 2015
David Cameron wants parliaments to have a greater say in the EU. But member-states have little appetite to give national chambers powers to block Commission proposals.
EU foreign policy co-operation

EU foreign policy co-operation: A millstone or a multiplier for the UK?

12 October 2015
Submission to the House of Commons Foreign Affairs Select Committee inquiry on the costs and benefits of EU membership for the UK's role in the world.
By participating actively in EU foreign policy co-operation, the UK can get 27 other countries to take co-ordinated actions aligned with British aims. It could...
Jeremy Corbyn and the rise of groupthink

Jeremy Corbyn and the rise of groupthink

24 September 2015
Jeremy Corbyn's rise to the Labour leadership heralds an era of ideological contest that threatens Britain's membership of the EU – and the United Kingdom itself.
Polish elections

Cameron’s renegotiation plans: The view from Warsaw

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska
06 August 2015
Poland's October elections may complicate Cameron's renegotiation plans. A government led by Law and Justice could as easily confront Cameron as appease him.
Could eurozone integration damage the single market?

Could eurozone integration damage the single market?

27 July 2015
Britain fears that the eurozone could caucus and impose rules on the EU single market. So David Cameron is asking for safeguards to protect the market.
Bulletin issue 103 August/September 2015

Issue 103 - 2015

Charles Grant, Christian Odendahl, Ian Bond, Rem Korteweg
27 July 2015
Britain's renegotiation: Advice to Mr Cameron

Britain's renegotiation: Advice to Mr Cameron

John Kerr
24 July 2015
To succeed in his renegotiation, David Cameron needs to build an alliance for reforms that benefit the EU as a whole. 
Britain’s EU referendum: Cameron cannot please two audiences

Britain’s EU referendum: Cameron cannot please two audiences any longer

26 June 2015
As Cameron kicks off the renegotiation of Britain’s EU membership, his strategy will inevitably lead to a breach with Tory eurosceptics.
Five ways to win a referendum, and five potential pitfalls

Five ways to win a referendum, and five potential pitfalls

27 May 2015
Cameron's plans for winning an EU referendum could fall victim to the euro crisis, rows on migration and the reluctance of other governments to help him.
A ten-point plan to strengthen Westminster's oversight of EU policy

A ten-point plan to strengthen Westminster's oversight of EU policy

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska
27 May 2015
Reforms at EU level could help to narrow the EU’s democratic deficit. But there are many things Westminster could do to improve its own scrutiny of EU policy.