Research

The complicated process of leaving the EU

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska
04 May 2016
Europe online
"The provisions of Article 50 make it clear that the divorce would be a time-consuming and cumbersome process," Agata Gostynska-Jakubowska of the Centre for European Reform said. "If the British vote to leave the EU, there will be no coming back."

CER podcast: Five questions on the implications of a Brexit for the EU

Ian Bond, Sophia Besch
04 May 2016
In the first of a series of podcasts on the implications of a Brexit for the EU, Sophia Besch talks to CER's director of foreign policy Ian Bond.

London's Hong Kong dreams

04 May 2016
Politico
"The idea that Britain could just leave and have complete regulatory autonomy is fanciful," said John Springford, senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, a pro-European think-tank. "The reason for that should be obvious: London is the EU's principal wholesale financial centre. And there is no way the EU will allow for its financial centre to be outside the EU."

Tok FM: Jaka przyszłość czeka Unię Europejską, jeśli Brytyjczycy zdecydują się ją opuścić? Agata Gostyńska w rozmowie z Jakubem Janiszewskim

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska
04 May 2016
Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska talks to Jakub Janiszewski of Tok FM about the future of the European Union, if the British decide to leave.

Britain will lose out on a world of trade if leaves EU

03 May 2016
The Yorkshire Post
It is acknowledged ​that the increase we have seen with trade in the EU is directly linked to our membership of it. The Centre for European Reform says that it has raised trade by 55 per cent, while the Government argue that it has done so by between 68 and 85 per cent. Whatever the exact figure, it is hard to deny that it is a substantial amount.

... more disappointing economic news emerges

02 May 2016
The Herald Scotland
David Bell also helpfully cites estimates (by the Centre for European Reform) of the UK and Scottish contributions to the EU Budget. The annual UK gross payment over the next few years is expected to be around £17 billion.

British companies avoid taking sides in the debate over an EU exit

Simon Tilford
01 May 2016
The New York Times
Yet so far, the voice of business has been less full-throated than many analysts expected. "Business does seem strangely muted on this," said Simon Tilford, the deputy director of the Centre for European Reform, a research institute in London. "It has been surprising that so few internationally active businesses are prepared to speak out."

If it ain't broke, don't Brexit

30 April 2016
The Economist
In fact, trade between Britain and the rest of the EU is larger than geography alone would predict, according to a recent analysis by the Centre for European Reform, a think-tank. It calculates that the flow of goods and services across the Channel is 55% greater than distance and economic mass alone would imply.

How others see it: The European Union would suffer from Brexit

30 April 2016
The Economist
As the Centre for European Reform, a London-based think-tank, notes in a new report, a British departure would leave the EU “less liberal, more suspicious of science and more protectionist”.

Seven reasons Brexiteers are wrong to think EU exit negotiations would be easy

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska
29 April 2016
City A.M
Some eurosceptics think that Brexit negotiations would be a piece of cake. But if Britain decides to leave the EU, it will have no choice but to invoke Article 50 of the Treaty on European Union.

Brexit would be a victory for xenophobes, we must not turn back the clock

Simon Tilford
29 April 2016
The Telegraph
Britain's EU referendum will be a vote on immigration. The out camp know that voters are aware of the economic and political risks of Brexit, but hope that their resentment of "uncontrolled" immigration from the EU will trump these concerns.

This week's Brexit briefing

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska
29 April 2016
The Wall Street Journal
Here for the pro-EU Centre for European Reform, Agata Gostynska-Jakubowska drills deeper into the questions that surround Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty, the clause that most likely would have to be used to negotiate the UK's departure.

Duncan Smith's free movement fig-leaf

28 April 2016
Prospect
Brexiteers, after a difficult start to the campaign, are trying to push the EU debate onto immigration.
Der "Gottvater" und der Brexit: Joschka Fischer geht auf die Knie

Der "Gottvater" und der Brexit: Joschka Fischer geht auf die Knie

28 April 2016
N-TV
Ex-Außenminister Joschka Fischer zeigt sich ungewohnt demütig. Vielleicht weil es um eine Herzensangelegenheit geht, um Europa. Dem Staatenverbund droht der Brexit. Es steht viel auf dem Spiel.
Es ist, als sei er nie weggewesen: Joschka Fischer, der "Gottvater", wie er auch im Auswärtigen Amt augenzwinkernd genannt wurde. Er ist zu...

For UK and EU, breaking up is legally hard to do

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska
28 April 2016
The Wall Street Journal
Agata Gostynska-Jakubowska of the pro-EU Centre for European Reform says delaying for too long also "might be unacceptable for the EU partners," further eroding goodwill. The UK, by extending the agony, would be an unwanted participant in EU meetings. Meanwhile at home, the political pressure would mount from victorious Leave advocates to unshackle from the EU.

Video of CER/DIW Berlin roundtable on 'Britain's role in Europe' with Josckha Fischer and David Lidington

28 April 2016
Josckha Fischer and David Lidington discuss the role of Britain in Europe at a CER/DIW roundtable held in Berlin.

Judy Asks: Will TTIP happen?

Rem Korteweg, Timothy Adamson, Krzysztof Bledowski, Reinhard Bütikofer, Uri Dadush, Stefan Mair, Gianni Riotta, Marietje Schaake, Claudia Schmucker, Ashley Tellis
27 April 2016
Carnegie Europe
A selection of experts answer a new question from Judy Dempsey on the foreign and security policy challenges shaping Europe’s role in the world.

Danske EU-politikere om Thulesens Brexit-plan: "Det rene, guddommelige vås" (in Danish)

Simon Tilford
26 April 2016
Politiken
Hvad er det for en mellemting?
Hos Centre for European Reform (CER) i London kan vicedirektør Simon Tilford se mindst to afgørende grunde til, at Kristian Thulesen Dahls analyse efter hans mening er forkert.
»For det første kan hverken Frankrigs præsident eller Tysklands forbundskansler holde til at give Storbritannien et totalt tag-selv-bord, hvis det bliver et nej. De føler, at de allerede har givet David Cameron store indrømmelser. Hvis de gik endnu videre, ville det få EU til at falde helt fra hinanden«, siger han.

Arguments for Brexit do not add up

26 April 2016
Financial Times
First, membership has brought few benefits. This is false. The Centre for European Reform estimates that it has raised trade with EU members by 55 per cent, increasing productivity and output.

The Guardian view on a key week in the EU debate

22 April 2016
The Guardian
In the second half of the week, the focus has shifted to global stability. First, eight former US treasury secretaries weighed in to warn that Brexit represents a critical threat to the global economy. Plenty of home-grown economists [listen here to the CER's debate at their 'Economists on Brexit' conference] also agree.