Research

Ian Bond

Sky News: World leaders attend Paris summit to discuss Ukraine

04 September 2025
A former UK ambassador has called into question the willingness of Ukraine's allies to actually take action to help Kyiv.Ian Bond, deputy director of the Centre for European Reform and former British ambassador to Latvia, speaking to presenter Gareth Barlow, said the coalition of the willing "has been very willing to talk, it's not been so willing to act".

Zorgen over staatsschulden leiden tot nerveuze week op financiële markten

04 September 2025
Die Volkskrant
Zo is daar de rol van de Nederlandse pensioenfondsen.‘Die zijn wereldwijd een zeer belangrijke koper van zulke langlopende obligaties’, zegt Sander Tordoir, hoofdeconoom van het Centre for European Reform in Berlijn. ‘Maar die hebben vanwege aankomende hervormingen van het Nederlandse pensioenstelsel besloten minder van zulke lange obligaties te kopen, dus lopen die rentes nu ook op.’

This is Marine Le Pen’s plan to stop France bankrupting itself

03 September 2025
The Telegraph
“I’d be rather sceptical that [the] National Rally would be serious about addressing France’s fiscal problems, because fiscal consolidation is painful politically and economically,” says Sander Tordoir, chief economist at the Centre for European Reform (CER).
“In most of Europe, the only parties with a history of showing they’re capable of doing that are from somewhere in the political centre.”
Ian Bond

Newstalk FM: Suspected Russian GPS jamming targets President von der Leyen's plane

02 September 2025
The European Commission has confirmed that President Ursula von der Leyen's plane was disrupted due to suspected Russian GPS jamming while attempting to land in Bulgaria on Sunday. We get reaction to this from Ian Bond, former British diplomat in Moscow, and now the deputy director of the Centre for European Reform.

Home secretary suspends refugee family reunion applications until new, tighter rules are put in place – as it happened

01 September 2025
The Guardian
This is from John Springford of the Centre for European Reform. "It’s fascinating watching the same cycle of f%¥£ing around and finding out happening. Some anti-ECHR lawyers in Britain might say this [that leaving the ECHR won’t affect the Good Friday agreement], but Irish and EU politicians think differently, and politics will determine their reaction, not law alone."

Sous les coups de boutoir de Donald Trump et de Xi Jinping, la grande rupture économique allemande

30 August 2025
Le Monde
Sander Tordoir, chef économiste au Centre for European Reform, un institut de recherche berlinois, confirme cette inflexion du capitalisme allemand. « Il existe une tendance mondiale où on observe que la relation entre l’Etat et les grandes entreprises évolue. Aux Etats-Unis, il y a par exemple un rapprochement entre la Silicon Valley et la Pentagon Valley, entre la scène technologique et celle de la défense, avec des entreprises comme Palantir ou Anduril. En Chine, c’est le standard depuis longtemps.

En Allemagne, le « second choc chinois » provoque une hécatombe d’emplois

29 August 2025
Le Monde
Pour Sander Tordoir, chef économiste au Centre for European Reform, qui avait décrit dès le mois de septembre 2024 la menace du « second choc chinois » pour l’économie allemande et européenne, estime qu’il est « deux fois plus gros que le premier », et aussi plus destructeur pour l’Europe, car elle est bien plus dépendante de l’industrie que ne l’étaient les Etats-Unis dans les années 2000.

Del rearmament a la mili obligatòria: Europa es blinda davant l'amenaça de Rússia

28 August 2025
Catalunya Press
Analistes com Ian Bond, del Centre for European Reform, adverteixen: “El que veiem que Rússia està preparant no és la pau”. Tot això tenint en compte el que se sap i no el que s'intueix que pot fer, en secret, Rúsia.
CER Podcast: Latest developments in Russia's war on Ukraine

CER Podcast: Latest developments in Russia's war on Ukraine

Ian Bond, Hanna Shelest
27 August 2025
Ian Bond and Hanna Shelest discuss the latest developments in Russia's war of aggression against Ukraine.

Europe is losing

22 August 2025
The Wall Street Journal
One reason change is difficult is that most Europeans will continue to enjoy a comfortable lifestyle for decades to come. “In global terms, relative decline is inevitable, but it may still be a very nice place, right?” says Sander Tordoir, an economist at the Centre for European Reform.

Zölle vs starker Euro + Verantwortung für Waldbrände

21 August 2025
Table Briefings
Gemäß Sander Tordoir, Chefökonom beim Centre forEuropean Reform, sind dies die positiveren Wirtschaftsaussichten für Europa aufgrundder angekündigten Infrastrukturinvestitionen Deutschlands, die Unsicherheit in denUSA, sowie die chinesische Währungsmanipulation. Die ersten beiden Gründe sind er-freuliche Entwicklungen für die EU-Wirtschaft, da sie Kapitalkosten senken und somitInvestitionen vereinfachen sollten. Gefährlich ist aber die Währungsmanipulation Chi-nas. Tordoir fürchtet einen „China-Schock im Hyperdrive“.

‘A million more dead’: The numbers that show Russia is years from victory

19 August 2025
The Telegraph
None of these factors mean Russia is facing imminent collapse, says Ian Bond, deputy director for the Centre for European Reform in London.There is no sign that the casualty rate or the economic strains of the war have created any kind of serious domestic political challenge to Putin so far.“But Russia is strong until it’s not. It looks mighty, and then mental fatigue sets in, and things fall apart quite quickly,” he says.

Security guarantees? Face time With Putin? Zelenskyy gets warmer Trump reception but unclear results

19 August 2025
Radio Free Europe Radio Liberty
“I viewed this from the beginning as a damage-limitation exercise, and I think to some extent it achieved that,” said Ian Bond, a former British diplomat who is now deputy director of the Centre for European Reform in London. “Clearly, it was a lot better than the meeting in February.”

Trump's ceasefire pivot will cause dismay in Kyiv and Europe

16 August 2025
BBC News
Ian Bond, deputy director of the Centre for European Reform and a former British diplomat, said Moscow's territorial demand was a non-starter."If Trump thinks that Zelensky is going to agree to give up the fortress cities of the Donetsk oblast, just to get Putin to stop making war on him, he's out of his mind," he said."It shows how little he still understands about the situation and the geography of Ukraine."

France 24: Alaska Summit: 'There is absolutely no sign that Putin wants to to make any compromises'

16 August 2025
Before the summit ended, FRANCE 24's Jean-Emile Jammine spoke to Ian Bond, deputy director of the Centre for European Reform in London and former British Ambassador to Latvia.
Ian Bond

Newstalk FM: Trump meets face to face with Putin today

15 August 2025
US President Donald Trump is meeting with Vladimir Putin in Alaska later today to discuss the possibility of peace in Ukraine. It comes after Trump said Putin must agree to a ceasefire or face “serious consequences”  
Speaking to Ciara was Ian Bond, former British Diplomat and now the Deputy Director of Foreign...
Ian Bond

France 24: Alaska Summit: Behind all of the praise, is Putin simply luring Trump in?

14 August 2025
Ian Bond, deputy director of the CER spoke with France 24 as Trump and Putin prepare for a pivotal US–Russia summit in Alaska.

European leaders hope to sway Trump on Ukraine during virtual meeting

13 August 2025
Euronews
One of the central issues for Europeans, Ian Bond told Euronews, is that Trump appears to be treating a possible peace deal in Ukraine "like a real estate transaction". "He does not understand that some of the territory in the east of Ukraine that Putin covets would be vital to Ukraine’s defence when (and it is ‘when’ not ‘if’) Russia resumes its aggression and tries to take more Ukrainian territory," the deputy director of the Centre for European Reform (CER) added.

Die europäischen Führer hoffen, Trump während des virtuellen Treffens auf die Ukraine zu beeinflussen

13 August 2025
The European Circle
Eines der zentralen Themen für die Europäer, sagte Ian Bond gegenüber The European Circle, dass Trump „wie eine Immobilientransaktion“ einen möglichen Friedensabkommen in der Ukraine zu behandeln scheint.„Er versteht nicht, dass ein Teil des Territoriums im Osten der Ukraine, dass Putin Covets für die Verteidigung der Ukraine von entscheidender Bedeutung wäre, wenn (und“ nicht ‚wenn‘ Russland seine Aggression wieder aufnimmt und versucht, mehr ukrainisches Territorium zu nehmen „, fügte der stellvertretende Direktor des Zentrums für europäische Reform (CER) hinzu.

That’s a feature, not a bug

08 August 2025
Politico Brussels Playbook
In a “defense of a bad deal,” the Centre for European Reform’s Aslak Berg writes: “This deal does not depend on trust — the EU retains the option to retaliate if either the deal falls through or Trump comes back with fresh demands.”

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