European defence needs a joint approach

14 June 2011
As Tomas Valasek, director of foreign policy and defence at London-based think-tank the Centre for European Reform, puts it in a recent paper, Surviving Austerity: The case for a new approach to EU military collaboration, a "wave of budgetary austerity" is eroding European nations' defences, and their armed forces "will lose important skills and capabilities unless they can find ways to save money through collaboration".

Trichet's 'Cold War' with Germany risks damage that may force compromise

Philip Whyte
13 June 2011
"The balance of forces in the eurozone is a little like it was in the Cold War: both sides are brandishing deterrents that would be too horrendous to use," said Philip Whyte, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform in London. "It's all going to turn on whether you can fiddle with debt maturities without calling it a credit event."

Beginning of the end for NATO?

Clara Marina O'Donnell
13 June 2011
New York Times
"The agreement called into question the sustainability and relevance of the EU's security and defence policy," said Clara Marina O'Donnell, defence expert at the Centre for European Reform in London.

Always waiting for the US cavalry

10 June 2011
The Economist
A recent paper by the Centre for European Reform, and think-tank in London, makes some sensible recommendations [Surviving Austerity: The case for a new approach to EU military collaboration by Tomas Valasek].

Erdogan seen winning after turning IMF-hooked Turkey into Mideast's model

Katinka Barysch
10 June 2011
"It still slightly worries me that Erdogan portrays himself as the natural long-term leader of Turkey," Katinka Barysch, deputy director at the Centre for European Reform, said in an interview. "A country too centralised, too focussed on one personality usually leads to very bad decision-making because if one leader is in power for too long he’s usually surrounded by yes-sayers."

President Obama embraces troubled German ally

07 June 2011
"Governments need to be able to point to the light at the end of the tunnel," says Simon Tilford, chief economist with the Centre for European Reform, a London-based think tank that supports European integration. Tilford says Greece and the other ailing economies are denied, by their use of the euro, the normal tools countries might use to address deep deficits, such as devaluing currency by printing money.

Erdogan's last hurrah (possibly)

Katinka Barysch
02 June 2011
The Economist
Katinka Barysch of the London-based Centre for European Reform points out that some 50-60 journalists are now in jail, most of them accused of plotting to overthrow the government; around 10,000 lawsuits are pending against writers and broadcasters; and Turkey has dropped to 138th place in the press-freedom ranking of Reporters Without Borders, a lobby group, behind Iraq and only just ahead of Russia.

Turkey's choice

Katinka Barysch
02 June 2011
International Herald Tribune
Turkey's election in 2007 was preceded by threats of a military coup. The 2002 one was overshadowed by an economic meltdown.

Why the EU needs a migration organisation

01 June 2011
European Voice
A European Migration Organisation would help the EU develop clearer responses to migration. EU leaders will discuss reform of the Schengen area at their summit next week (23-24 June).

Five ways to save Europe

29 May 2011
Irish Independent
Simon Tilford, chief economist of the Centre for European Reform, believes that Europe will eventually have to write off about half of the debt of countries such as Greece and Ireland. "Far from improving access to the financial markets, the support packages for Greece and Ireland have left these countries facing record borrowing costs," said Tilford. "The markets do not believe that the struggling euro countries are going to grow rapidly enough to service their debts.

President Barack Obama's fence-mending with Poland

27 May 2011
BBC News
As Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform, told me, "Poland has traditionally been a close ally of the US on security matters, but that alliance has become strained in recent years". "Poles were upset by President Obama's abrupt cancellation of the Bush administration's plans for missile defence, which would have stationed interceptors in Poland, and they are still arguing with the Obama administration about whether the Patriot missiles that Poland wants should be based there permanently or not," he added.

Tens of thousands protest against the government

25 May 2011
Prague Post
"There is a perception that Europe's way of life is under threat", said Simon Tilford, chief economist at the Centre for European Reform, a London-based think tank. "In Spain, they face years of painful adjustment with no guarantee there will be a return to economic growth", he said.

Harper in strong position for G8 meet: Economist

25 May 2011
Montreal Gazette
"There's no doubt that Canada is much better placed to take a higher profile and be listened to than it was a few years ago", said Simon Tilford, chief economist at the London-based Centre for European Reform... "The elephant in the room is the eurozone debt crisis."

In Britain, pomp for Obama but serious business too

24 May 2011
New York Times
"The British are disappointed that the US seems only to be half-committed to this battle," said Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform in London. "The view goes that even if the US felt it had to make withdrawals, to say so in public would allow Gaddafi to relax and think that the US didn't really want to get rid of him."

Eurogroup chief vexes partners as crisis rages

24 May 2011
"The French in particular have found Juncker lacking in his ability to provide leadership during the crisis," said Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform in London. "When he does talk it has added to the sense of disarray." But Grant, of the CER in London, says Juncker does not deserve all the blame for the mixed messages coming out of the eurozone, nor the stop-start response to the bloc's crisis. "You have the (eurozone) patient in its sick bed, but there is no agreement on the nature of the disease, let alone what medicine is required.

Lagarde may stake claim as first female IMF chief

19 May 2011
Lagarde, 55, has the negotiating skills and an understanding of Europe's sovereign debt crisis needed for the post, say analysts including Charles Grant at the Centre for European Reform. "We should choose the best candidate, whether European, Antarctican or Uruguayan," said Grant, executive director of the London-based research group. "The French have a record of strong candidates and the obvious one now would be Lagarde."

Europa sucht eine Integrationsfigur

19 May 2011
Wiener Zeitung
"Das müsste schon ein sehr, sehr starker Kandidat sein", sagt Simon Tilford, Chefökonom der Londoner Denkfabrik Centre for European Reform, im Gespräch mit der "Wiener Zeitung". ... "Er hat es ermöglicht, dass die Widerstände im IWF gegen ein Engagement in der Eurozone überwunden wurden", sagt Tilford. ... Der IWF zählte zwar einerseits zu den institutionellen Gewinnern der "Großen Rezession": Er konnte sich in der Krise seinen Ruf als Finanzfeuerwehr zurückerobern und kehrte dafür von alten, teilweise überholten Dogmen ab. Dieser Kurswandel sei nicht zuletzt mit Strauss-Kahn verbunden ...

Belarus turns to Russia for bailout

18 May 2011
The Moscow News
Lukashenko's economic model and social contract with the Belarusian people is based on hand-outs, mostly from Europe and Russia, Tomas Valasek from the Centre for European Reform told The Moscow News, after election violence and brutal police crack downs on opposition protestors put a new crack in Lukashenko's relations with the European Union.

$32Bln not enough for TNK partners

Katinka Barysch
18 May 2011
The Moscow Times
"It's not something that will turn investor perception on Russia around," said Katinka Barysch, chief economist at the Centre for European Reform. "There's nobody who is blue-eyed about Russia these days, especially in the energy sector."

Dissecting three aspects of the eurozone drama

16 May 2011
The Wall Street Journal
Simon Tilford, chief economist at the Centre for European Reform, has done some interesting arithmetic that suggests that even after a default relieves Greece of interest burdens, its stagnant economy cannot produce sufficient revenues to reduce its still-huge deficits.