Research

Interest rates

The eurozone's real interest rate problem

Christian Odendahl
08 July 2014
Aggressive fiscal and regulatory policies are needed to counteract the effects of divergent real interest rates in the eurozone – but this is not happening.
The eurozone is no place for poor countries

The eurozone is no place for poor countries

Simon Tilford
27 June 2014
The gap between the eurozone’s richer and poorer members is as wide as in 1999 and is growing. Poorer prospective members should take note.
Russia’s gas deal with China: business is business thumbnail

Russia's gas deal with China: Business is business

Ian Bond, Rem Korteweg
25 June 2014
Russia's gas deal with China helps Beijing more than Moscow. It should also encourage the EU to reduce its energy dependence on Russia.
Juncker battle

Why the push to install Juncker is so damaging

John Springford, Simon Tilford
23 June 2014
The battle for Juncker does not pit the British against Europe's democrats. It is a power grab by the European Parliament, combined with self-interested haggling by governments.
How to finish the euro house

How to finish the euro house

Philippe Legrain
17 June 2014
Eurozone governance is politically unsustainable: its rules and institutions favour creditor over debtor countries. Eurozone policy-makers need to change direction before it is too late.
German investment

More investment, for Germany’s sake

Christian Odendahl
13 June 2014
German investment is low while German borrowing costs are at record lows. Convincing the German government to invest will not be easy, for political reasons.

The economic consequences of leaving the EU

The final report of the CER commission on the UK and the EU single market
09 June 2014
A group of experts finds that, after leaving the EU, the UK would face an invidious choice: sign up to the single market’s rules, or suffer economic damage.In April 2016 an updated version of the report The economic consequences of leaving the EU: The final report of the CER commission on Brexit 2016 was published.
Will Europe scratch Japan's back?

Will Europe scratch Japan's back?

Rem Korteweg
06 June 2014
Japan is drawing parallels between Russian and Chinese power politics. Tokyo supports European interests in Ukraine and elsewhere, but will Europe help Japan in its neighbourhood?
The eurozone economy needs a kick-start

The eurozone economy needs a kick-start

Christian Odendahl, Simon Tilford
06 June 2014
With just as many reasons for pessimism as for optimism in the eurozone, policy-makers need to further stimulate demand and pursue more targeted reforms.
CER bulletin - Issue 96

Issue 96 - 2014

Charles Grant, Christian Odendahl, Rem Korteweg, Simon Tilford
06 June 2014
Business as usual is not acceptable

Business as usual is not acceptable

06 June 2014
The electoral success of populists in Britain and France has reinforced German dominance of the EU. It also makes a new EU treaty less likely.
Presidential candidates, European federalism and Charles Grant

Presidential candidates, European federalism and Charles Grant

Anthony Giddens
03 June 2014
The EU needs economic and political federalism. And it should be more respectful of democracy. That means Jean-Claude Juncker should become Commission president.
The European Council must choose the Commission’s new president

The new European Commission: which president, and what priorities?

30 May 2014
The Commission needs a strong president. But if the Parliament gets its way and imposes a ‘designated candidate’, the Commission will have a weak leader.
Devolution in Ukraine: Panacea or Pandora's Box?

Devolution in Ukraine: Panacea or Pandora's Box?

23 May 2014
The West and Russia both support devolution in Ukraine. But unless Ukraine first makes central government work, increased local powers will make things worse.
Presidential candidates, European federalism and Tony Giddens

Presidential candidates, European federalism and Tony Giddens

15 May 2014
The problem with ‘federalism’ is that most European citizens do not want it. This makes the federalist proposals in Tony Giddens’ new book unrealistic.
The consequences of Brexit for the City of London

The consequences of Brexit for the City of London

John Springford, Philip Whyte
08 May 2014
If Britain leaves the EU, the City of London will lose access to European markets – unless the UK aligns its financial rules with those of the EU.
What is wrong with German foreign policy?

What is wrong with German foreign policy?

06 May 2014
Events in Ukraine give Germany a chance to lead EU foreign policy - if its own policy become less commercially-driven, and more strategic.
The green benefits of Britain's EU membership

The green benefits of Britain's EU membership

Stephen Tindale
30 April 2014
European rules have delivered cleaner air and water in Britain, and protected wildlife. Outside the EU, Britain would again be 'the dirty man of Europe'.
Quantitative easing alone will not do the trick

Quantitative easing alone will not do the trick

Christian Odendahl
28 April 2014
In the eurozone, quantitative easing by itself is unlikely to be effective. The European Central Bank needs to change the way it manages people’s expectations, too.
Why a British exit is not inevitable

Why a British exit is not inevitable

17 April 2014
Lord Ashcroft’s polling shows that pro-Europeans can win an in/out referendum. But what are the best arguments to use in such a campaign?