Research & Press

Cameron's security gamble: Is Brexit a strategic risk?

21 December 2015
Britain has shown its international ambitions with airstrikes in Syria and an important defence and security review. But the referendum on EU membership threatens Britain's interests.

The continental view of Cameron's renegotiation

16 December 2015
David Cameron’s insistence on excluding migrants from in-work benefits means that he cannot strike a deal on EU reform at this week’s summit.
Cameron's EU reforms: Will Europe buy them?

Cameron's EU reforms: Will Europe buy them?

14 December 2015
At the European Council on 17 December David Cameron's reform proposals will get a mixed reception. Which ideas will get most backing, and from whom?
Big data, Big Brother? How to secure Europeans' safety and privacy

Big data, Big Brother? How to secure Europeans' safety and privacy

04 December 2015
To keep Europeans safe and respect their privacy, the EU needs to improve its relationship with America and the functioning of the European Parliament.
We don't need no federation: What a devolved eurozone should look like

We don't need no federation: What a devolved eurozone should look like

03 December 2015
At the heart of the eurozone's troubles lies a fundamental contradiction between the euro's integrationist economic pressures and the politics of democratic nation-states.
Millstone or multiplier? EU foreign policy

Millstone or multiplier? EU foreign policy

30 November 2015
EU foreign policy co-operation gives Britain a chance to persuade 27 other countries to support British aims – but success depends on the UK showing more interest.

Britain, immigration and Brexit

Simon Tilford
30 November 2015
If the UK quits the EU, it will be because British politicians have pandered to anti-immigrant sentiment rather than addressing the supply-side failures that drive it.
Adrift: The impact of the ECJ’s Safe Harbour ruling

Adrift: The impact of the ECJ's Safe Harbour ruling

30 November 2015
The Court's decision to invalidate a transatlantic agreement on data flows could fragment the internet, harm Europe's digital single market and threaten the EU's geopolitical interests.

China's European charm offensive: Silk Road or Silk Rope?

27 November 2015
China is building closer relations with European countries, offering investments to all. EU member-states should welcome China’s contribution, without abandoning European values and interests.
Merkel after Paris

Merkel after Paris

20 November 2015
Merkel's relatively open and liberal stance on refugees makes it easier for her to respond robustly to the attacks in France through security and foreign policy.
Terrorism in Paris: Aux armes, citoyens?

Terrorism in Paris: Aux armes, citoyens?

17 November 2015
The West should draw the right lessons from the Paris attacks. A military response to Daesh in Syria must be combined with better European intelligence co-operation.
In-work benefits

In-work benefits for EU migrants: How the British government dug itself into a hole

10 November 2015
The UK could make both Britons and EU migrants wait four years before having access to in-work benefits, but the ECJ might still rule it illegal.
The EU Energy Union: More than the sum of its parts?

The EU Energy Union: More than the sum of its parts?

Dieter Helm
09 November 2015
An Energy Union built around EU-wide gas and electricity networks will help produce cheaper, greener and more secure energy for Europe.
25 years on: How the euro's architects erred thumbnail

25 years on: How the euro's architects erred

05 November 2015
The original plans for the euro – conceived 25 years ago – suffered from five major flaws. Only some of these flaws have been fixed.
Polish elections

Changing the guard in Poland but not much change for Cameron?

28 October 2015
Poland’s new government may share Cameron’s euroscepticism, but it will not support all his reform ideas – especially if they discriminate against Poles.
Cameron's EU gamble: Five reforms he can win, and ten pitfalls he must avoid

Cameron's EU gamble: Five reforms he can win, and ten pitfalls he must avoid

23 October 2015
Cameron's package of EU reforms will not be exciting. He could lose the referendum, because of the EU's many problems and the weakness of Britain's pro-Europeans.
Gain or more pain in Spain?

Gain or more pain in Spain?

Simon Tilford
19 October 2015
Spain is no poster child for austerity and structural reforms. The recovery is less than it appears and the country faces some formidable challenges.
Power to the parliaments! But will Cameron's EU partners join his crusade?

Power to the parliaments! But will Cameron's EU partners join his crusade?

16 October 2015
David Cameron wants parliaments to have a greater say in the EU. But member-states have little appetite to give national chambers powers to block Commission proposals.
EU foreign policy co-operation

EU foreign policy co-operation: A millstone or a multiplier for the UK?

12 October 2015
Submission to the House of Commons Foreign Affairs Select Committee inquiry on the costs and benefits of EU membership for the UK's role in the world.
By participating actively in EU foreign policy co-operation, the UK can get 27 other countries to take co-ordinated actions aligned with British aims. It could...

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