The New Statesman: World review podcast - Farewell Merkel, hello Scholz

Christian Odendahl
08 December 2021
"Germany understands that it's time for a 'period of modernisation'" said Christian Odendahl of the CER, on the modernising ambitions of Olaf Scholz as Chancellor. 

Germany’s new government has big plans. It might be a shock after Merkel.

Christian Odendahl
08 December 2021
“After 16 years of very little progress, I think Germany is in for a bit of a modernization shock,” said Christian Odendahl, the Berlin-based chief economist for the Centre for European Reform.

Deutsche Welle: Energy crisis: Will a green transition throw the global economy into recession?

06 December 2021
“What the [energy price spike] exposes is not that we have tried to decarbonise energy generation faster than what would be wise – quite the opposite: if we had a larger share of renewables in the energy mix, we would be less reliant on fossil fuels [such as natural gas]...

Franco-British relations shouldn’t be a circus

06 December 2021
Relations between the UK and France are a mess. Boris Johnson has told Emmanuel Macron in cod French to “Prenez un grip”.

How migration became a weapon in a ‘hybrid war’

05 December 2021
Financial Times
“This cannot happen again. This is on the mind of everybody,” says Camino Mortera-Martinez of the Centre for European Reform in Brussels.

Bruselas pide un presupuesto permanente para la zona euro cuando expire el fondo de recuperación

04 December 2021
El Pais
Una de las aportaciones de este colectivo procede del think tank Centre for European Reform, que este viernes publicaba un artículo apoyando la idea de que el fondo de recuperación se convierta en una herramienta permanente: “A pesar de su tamaño, no es lo suficientemente grande como para mover permanentemente la inversión climática.

We need a new entente cordiale, but it won’t happen any time soon

04 December 2021
The Telegraph
According to analysis by the Centre for European Reform, UK goods trade was 11.2pc, or £8.5bn, lower in September than it would have been if the UK had stayed in the EU’s single market and customs union.

Permanent recovery

03 December 2021
Financial Times
The Centre for European Reform is making the case for extending the lifetime of the EU recovery fund beyond the current cut-off date, 2026. The RRF should instead become permanent, and focus on climate investment to ensure the EU meets its carbon neutrality goal by 2050.

Great expectations: Why the West is looking to Germany to counter Russian aggression

03 December 2021
The Times
“Germany is seen [in Washington] as quite a reliable and stable ally, but also as an ally with a strong voice in Europe,” said Sophia Besch, a defence and foreign policy expert at the Centre for European Reform. “A Germany that finds consensus within Europe before coming to the US is the kind of partner that the US wishes for.”

The EU needs a permanent recovery fund

02 December 2021
In 2020, EU member-states took a huge step forward in European fiscal integration, with member-states agreeing to jointly borrow on financial markets to finance the new EU Recovery and Resilience Facility (RRF).

New EU measures set to restrict asylum rights at the Belarus border

01 December 2021
The New York Times
Camino Mortera-Martínez, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, said the new measures amounted to “rubber-stamping the behavior” of Poland, Latvia and Lithuania. “Especially Poland, which has been breaking all asylum laws possible,” she said.

A geopolítica está a levar a Alemanha a tornar-se mais pragmática na frente orçamental

Christian Odendahl
27 November 2021
Christian Odendahl, do Centre for European Reform, diz que as questões orçamentais estão a passar para um plano secundário quando o ambiente passou a ser a questão prioritária na Alemanha.

Drame migratoire: Johnson appelle la France à reprendre les migrants qui traversent la Manche

26 November 2021
Le Point
"Ils vont devoir travailler ensemble. Mais peuvent-il y arriver quand les relations sont si mauvaises, avec toujours le risque que l'un dise que l'autre n'en fait pas assez ?", s'interroge John Springford, expert au Centre for European Reform (CER) à Londres.

CER podcast: Poland and Belarus: What can and should the EU do?

25 November 2021
Charles Grant speaks to Camino Mortera-Martinez and Katia Glod about the latest developments in Belarus and Poland.

David Frost in bullish mood despite shortage of post-Brexit momentum

25 November 2021
Financial Times
One way of trying to screen out the effects of Covid-19 and other factors is to measure UK trade against a ‘doppelgänger’ UK that had not exited the EU, built around modelling the trade performance of other advanced economies such as the US, Germany, Greece, New Zealand and Sweden. This is what has generated the below chart from John Springford at the Centre for European Reform (CER) whose work was referenced by the OBR in its October update.

Franco-British feuding thwarts Channel migrant response

25 November 2021
France 24
"It's extremely serious. It's difficult to see how France and the UK can work together on issues of major importance when the relationship is so bad," said John Springford, an expert at the London-based Centre for European Reform think-tank.

CNBC: German coalition deal set to be announced as talks near completion

Christian Odendahl
23 November 2021
Having the fiscally conservative Christian Lindner as finance minister was one of the FDP's conditions. But the party knows Germany and Europe need investment, so Germany will try to circumvent its debt brake.

Europe's economic recovery in peril as fourth Covid wave sweeps the continent

Christian Odendahl
22 November 2021
The Telegraph
Christian Odendahl, chief economist at the Centre for European Reform says the “political calculus changes quite a bit” for state leaders facing election. He argues politicians dodged the Covid issue in German elections in September, making a backlash more likely at the ballot box in state votes next year.
But, adds Odendahl, Austria’s mandatory move “will set a precedent for Germany, because Germany and Austria follow each other's politics and country relatively closely”.

Amazon n’accepte plus les cartes Visa au Royaume-Uni. Et voilà les leçons que nous devrions retenir

19 November 2021
Amazon UK n'accepte plus les cartes de crédit Visa. Quelles sont les raisons de cette décision ? Amazon s'inquiète de l'augmentation par Visa des frais que les détaillants doivent payer pour accepter ce type de cartes de crédit. 

Why Poland needs to turn to Germany for support during border crisis

18 November 2021
The New European
Charles Grant, of the Centre for European Reform, suggests it is worse than that. “There is another reason why they are they refusing to allow NGOs and journalists to visit, why they don’t want Frontex. They don’t want people monitoring their behaviour on the frontline.” 
The government is using the border crisis for political advantage, Grant adds. Poland has refused to take in migrants under EU quota schemes devised after the great wave that arrived in Germany in 2015. It is the classic political wedge, to play up against a “soft” opposition. “Liberals are in a mess about it.”