Brexit latest: Jeremy Hunt calls on Tories to stay united behind PM

19 October 2018
Deputy director at the Centre for European Reform John Springford said: “The taxpayer would gain from another year of single market membership.”

Debunking Jacob Rees-Mogg’s claim an extension period will make the UK a ‘vassal state’

Sam Lowe
19 October 2018
In an effort to break the Brexit negotiation deadlock over the Irish backstop, it is reported that Theresa May has conceded that the standstill transition period could be extended beyond its current deadline of December 2020.

A second Brexit referendum is wishful thinking

Beth Oppenheim
19 October 2018
The UK's 2016 Brexit referendum was meant to put the vexed question of Britain's relationship with Europe to bed forever - it didn't. 

Regime Change? The European Economy to 2030

17 October 2018
Brink News
After a decade of putting out the fires of the Great Recession of 2008-09, the euro crisis of 2010-12, and the migration crisis, which blew up in 2015, now is the right time to ask: What regime does the European economy need by 2030?

British trade negotiator's conundrum: Can he actually make any deals?

Sam Lowe
16 October 2018
The Wall Street Journal
If the UK is barred for doing trade deals for goods in coming years, it can focus on promoting trade in services. It could work on ways to get regulators in different countries to co-operate on mutually recognized rules to help British firms do business there, for instance. While talks on services are possible, “broad services agreements don’t really exist,” says Sam Lowe, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform think-tank.

Cumbres borrascosas

16 October 2018
El Periodico Internacional
Esta no es la mejor semana para ser corresponsal, diplómatico o turista en Bruselas. Entre el martes y el viernes, la ciudad habrá acogido siete cumbres. 

Crisis or choreography over Brexit?

15 October 2018
The Financial Times
At the same time the PM needs to reduce the lengthy period between the moment she signs a final deal in Brussels and the moment she puts it to the Commons. “She needs to sign an agreement very close to the moment she has a meaningful vote,” says John Springford of the Centre for European Reform. “On the current timetable, if she were to land an agreement this week, there would be up to two months for backbench opponents and the Eurosceptic media to tear it apart.”

Een Vandaag: Waarom blijven zoveel Britten de brexit steunen

13 October 2018
Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform, speaks to Een Vandaag about why so many Brits continue to support Brexit.

Discussion paper No.3 Brexit and the OBR's forecasts

11 October 2018
Office for Budget Responsibility
The Centre for European Reform found that cumulative UK growth was lower by 2.5 percentage points between the second quarter of 2016 and the second quarter of 2018 than the comparator. Born et al (2018) found that the shortfall in GDP growth was 2.0 percentage points over the same period.2 It is noteworthy that the estimates are broadly similar, despite the composition of the doppelgangers differing significantly.

Brexit already hurting UK economy and no-deal risks recession, says Office for Budget Responsibility

11 October 2018
The Independent
The Bank of England and some independent analysts, including the Centre for European Reform, have suggested that the Leave result has held back UK GDP growth by between 2 and 2.5 per cent relative to where it otherwise would have been due to lower household spending, resulting from the spike in inflation after the vote, and lower business investment due to Brexit-related uncertainty.

Filling in the gaps in the Brexit deal

11 October 2018
The Economist
Charles Grant of the Centre for European Reform, a think-tank, says several countries are keener to enforce a level playing-field on regulation than they are to keep untrammelled free movement of people. So some limits may be acceptable.

The UK economy since the Brexit vote

11 October 2018
The Financial Times
Financial Times research has shown that by the end of the first quarter, the UK economy was between 1 and 1.5 per cent smaller than it would have been without the Brexit vote, although some independent estimates, such as a recent report from the Centre for European Reform, suggest the hit could have been as large as 2.5 per cent.

The Guardian - Politics Weekly podcast: The Irish border, SNP conference and emotions in politics

11 October 2018
Heather Stewart is joined by Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform, Katy Hayward and Lisa O’Carroll to discuss one of the toughest issues yet to be resolved in the Brexit negotiations: the Irish border.

Post-Brexit Britain: Why UK could be forced to accept rat hair and maggots in their food after US trade deal

Sam Lowe
10 October 2018
The Daily Mail
Sam Lowe, a trade specialist for the Centre For European Reform told Business Insider that the US would 'pressure' the UK to align its food standards closer with the FDA rules. 
'The US actively dislikes many existing EU measures and will certainly pressurise the UK to jettison many of them in any FTA negotiations with the UK,' Lowe told BI this week. 

„May ist ein Desaster”

10 October 2018
Das Endspiel hat begonnen: Brexit-Experte Charles Grant über den Niedergang der politischen Klasse in England, das Trauerspiel der Premierministerin – und das Vorbild Schweiz.

Brexit’s economic damage is getting real

10 October 2018
The Edge Markets
The Centre for European Reform’s (CER) John Springford has taken the Born-led model a step further. The CER approach uses not just GDP, but also other attributes of 22 advanced economies — including the inflation rate, openness to trade, investment ratio and how well-educated the population is — to create a doppelganger UK that most closely matches the country’s economy before the referendum. Based on that methodology, the CER puts the cost of Brexit at 2.5% of GDP.

CER podcast: Instability in Libya and a divided EU

10 October 2018
Sophia Besch asks Luigi Scazzieri about the latest escalation of the conflict in Libya, and they discuss the EU's fragmented policy.

Fears rat hair, maggots and mould might start appearing in British food following post-Brexit trade deal

Sam Lowe
10 October 2018
The Independent
Sam Lowe, a trade specialist at the Centre For European Reform, predicted that the US would want the UK to move away from EU food standards and much closer to its own in any future free trade deal negotiation. “The US actively dislikes many existing EU measures and will certainly pressurise the UK to jettison many of them in any FTA negotiations with the UK,” Mr Lowe told Business Insider.

Die Frau, die über den Brexit entscheidet

Sam Lowe
10 October 2018
Die Welt
In London vermutet man hinter Fosters lauter Ablehnung derweil Kalkül. „Meint sie ihr Nein ernst? Anfangs hatte die DUP auch eine Unterstützung der Minderheitsregierung abgelehnt und sich dann doch darauf eingelassen“, erinnert Sam Lowe daran, dass May Nordirland nach der Wahl kurzfristig umgerechnet 1,2 Milliarden Euro Sonderhilfen zusagte. „Nordirland ist in vielerlei Hinsicht nicht in Großbritannien integriert. Etwa in seiner kategorischen Ablehnung der rechtlich verbindlichen Homo-Ehe oder des Abtreibungsrechts. Das Beharren auf die Integrität des Territoriums birgt aber hohe Symbolik, und die ist wichtig für die DUP“, sagt der Handelsexperte vom Centre for European Reform.

Le Pen i Salvini nie chcą utożsamiać się z Trumpem

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska
09 October 2018
Partie populistyczne wyciągnęły wnioski z przeszłości i nie obiecują już wyprowadzenia swoich państw z UE. Szczególnie po decyzji Wielkiej Brytanii o brexicie wiedzą, że to nie jest postulat popierany przez wyborców – zauważa Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska z Centre for European Reform (CER) w Londynie.