Centre for European Reform

Selon Sander Tordoir, « l’équipe Trump voudra prouver que le 9 juillet n’était pas qu’un pétard mouillé, explique-t-il. Elle va donc certainement rétablir des droits de douane élevés et réciproques sur au moins un pays afin de faire un exemple. »

Real-terms UK trade volumes have grown by just 1 per cent since 2019, while both the EU and G7 have enjoyed an 8 per cent growth, the Centre for European Reform said last month.

A study by John Springford, associate fellow of the Centre for European Reform, finds that the annual loss of 4% of gross domestic product from Brexit – as estimated by the Office for Budgetary Responsibility – implies a loss of £40bn a year in tax revenue. He points out that this would have offset “a sizeable chunk” of the £100bn of taxes raised by the 2019-24 Conservative government.

A report by the Centre for European Reform (CER), calculates that more than half of the foreign-born workers doing “green jobs” in the UK – 260,000 out of 465,000 – would not have been allowed in under the new rules.Ministers are relying on employers to raise wages and provide more training in order to attract domestic workers into these roles, but John Springford, an associate fellow at the CER, said that could push up the costs to consumers of going green.